Aris vs Panetolikos Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.44
Draw
4.59
Away Win
7.34
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
Aris
Panetolikos
Tino Kadewere (Benjamin Garré) ⚽
11'
Tino Kadewere ⚽
49'
Giannis Gianniotas (Uros Racic) ⚽
58'
Giannis Gianniotas 🟨
59'
Match Statistics ?
64%
Ball Possession
36%
18
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Goal
1
3
Corner Kicks
5
16
Fouls
15
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Aris (4-2-3-1)
Ricardo Velho
J. Pétris
Fabiano
F. Jensen
O. Richards
M. Hongla
U. Račić
B. Garré
C. Kouamé
G. Gianniotas
T. Kadewere
Panetolikos (5-3-2)
Y. Kucherenko
David Galiatsos
K. Thymianis
N. Stajić
E. Olsson
Christian Manrique
Diego Esteban
N. Eraković
A. Bassi
José Mateo Mejía Piedrahita
K. Aleksić
Player Ratings ?
Aris
T. KadewereF9.1
G. GianniotasM8.2
FabianoD7.9
Panetolikos
K. AleksićF6.5
José Mateo Mejía PiedrahitaF6.4
L. SmyrlisF6.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Aris
Aris rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Aris an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Aris stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Aris stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Aris stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Aris stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Aris have enjoyed a flawless record in their last five home outings with four wins and just one draw, while Panetolikos have struggled away from home with only a solitary victory from their previous five matches. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five home fixtures but have managed just one clean sheet during that same period. Aris rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Aris won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 31 January 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Panetolikos's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 14-day comparison window, Aris's implied win probability has risen by 2.0 percentage points, while Panetolikos's implied win probability has fallen by 0.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Aris.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
13
Aris points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Aris
Aris's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Aris win as more likely than it did 14 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Aris win
Latest market chance 66.5%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
64.5% → 66.5%
+2.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
22.8% → 21.0%
−1.8 pts
Panetolikos win
Latest market chance 12.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
12.7% → 12.5%
−0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Aris
Draw
Panetolikos
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ArisPanetolikos
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
10th
9
Games Played
9
1.78
Points/Game
1.00
1.44
Goals/Game
0.89
1.89
Conceded/Game
1.89
15.6
Shots/Game
9.7
4.8
Shots on Target
2.5
Home vs Away Context
Aris at home (7 matches) vs Panetolikos away (6 matches)
2.71
Points/Game
0.50
2.43
Goals/Game
0.33
1.00
Conceded/Game
2.50
86%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Aris
Home form
D
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight at home
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Panetolikos
Away form
W
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight away
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Aris Wins
3
Draws
0
Panetolikos Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.6
Panetolikos0 – 1Aris
Aris0 – 2Panetolikos
Aris2 – 1Panetolikos
Panetolikos2 – 1Aris
Panetolikos0 – 4Aris
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Arisvs
Panetolikos
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
0.20
1.60
Goals conceded / game
2.40
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
2/10
4/10
Failed to Score
8/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.3%→Latest 53.1%+1.8 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 46.7%→Latest 47.0%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?