Aris vs Atromitos Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.68
Draw
3.85
Away Win
5.26
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Aris
Atromitos
Fabiano Leismann (Bruma) ⚽
3'
9'
⚽ Serginho (Steven Zuber)
Christian Kouamé ⚽
23'
Jeremy Petris (Uros Racic) ⚽
27'
Boško Šutalo 🟨
33'
Jeremy Petris 🟨
40'
69'
🟨 Georgios Papadopoulos
82'
🟨 Mattheos Mountes
86'
🟨 S. Pnevmonidis
Match Statistics ?
55%
Ball Possession
45%
13
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Goal
3
5
Corner Kicks
1
19
Fouls
17
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Aris (4-2-3-1)
Ricardo Velho
J. Pétris
Fabiano
B. Šutalo
O. Richards
M. Hongla
U. Račić
B. Garré
C. Kouamé
Bruma
T. Kadewere
Atromitos (3-4-3)
L. Choutesiotis
D. Tsakmakis
D. Stavrópoulos
H. Magnússon
T. Tsingaras
Dani García
S. Moutoussamy
G. Papadopoulos
Serginho
J. Perea
S. Zuber
Player Ratings ?
Aris
C. KouaméM8.1
FabianoD7.7
M. HonglaM7.2
Atromitos
S. ZuberF7.6
SerginhoF7.4
D. StavrópoulosD6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Aris
Aris rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Aris an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Aris stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Aris stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Aris slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Aris stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Atromitos have recorded just one victory from their last five away outings, whereas Aris remain unbeaten at home with four wins in that same recent sample. Aris have found the net in four of their last five home matches while also keeping two clean sheets within that period. Aris rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. The most recent meeting, on 7 March 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Aris's implied win probability has risen by 5.2 percentage points, while Atromitos's implied win probability has fallen by 2.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Aris.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
13
Aris points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Aris
Aris's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Aris win as more likely than it did 13 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Aris win
Latest market chance 56.6%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
51.4% → 56.6%
+5.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.9%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
27.2% → 24.9%
−2.3 pts
Atromitos win
Latest market chance 18.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
21.3% → 18.4%
−2.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Aris
Draw
Atromitos
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ArisAtromitos
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
14th
7
Games Played
6
1.86
Points/Game
0.33
1.43
Goals/Game
0.83
1.86
Conceded/Game
1.50
15.6
Shots/Game
10.4
4.8
Shots on Target
2.7
Home vs Away Context
Aris at home (7 matches) vs Atromitos away (7 matches)
2.71
Points/Game
0.43
2.43
Goals/Game
0.57
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.43
86%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Aris
Home form
W
D
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Atromitos
Away form
L
L
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Aris Wins
3
Draws
2
Atromitos Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.0
Aris3 – 1Atromitos
Aris0 – 0Atromitos
Atromitos1 – 2Aris
Atromitos1 – 1Aris
Aris1 – 0Atromitos
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Arisvs
Atromitos
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
1.60
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.40
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 43.4%→Latest 48.7%+5.3 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 47.0%→Latest 48.5%+1.5 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
3 of Atromitos's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?