AEK vs Panetolikos Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Allwyn Arena
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.12
Draw
9.68
Away Win
19.33
Match Report
Full Time
5 – 0
Match Events ?
AEK
Panetolikos
Harold Moukoudi (Petros Mantalos) ⚽
4'
Aboubakary Koita (Milan Vitális) ⚽
23'
25'
🟨 Kwadwo Opoku
Ambrósini António Cabaça Salvador (Aboubakary Koita) ⚽
38'
45'
🟨 Nikola Stajic
51'
🟨 Christian Manrique
Barnabás Varga ⚽ (P)
56'
Oleksandr Zubkov (Llazaros Rota) ⚽
90+2'
Match Statistics ?
53%
Ball Possession
47%
26
Total Shots
8
12
Shots on Goal
3
9
Corner Kicks
3
18
Fouls
12
0
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
7
Starting Lineups
AEK (4-4-2)
A. Brignoli
L. Rota
H. Moukoudi
Filipe Relvas
S. Pilios
A. Koita
K. Kairinen
M. Vitális
P. Mantalos
B. Varga
Zini
Panetolikos (4-4-2)
V. Xenopoulos
A. Prodromitis
L. Kojić
N. Stajić
Christian Manrique
K. Opoku
N. Eraković
M. Nakamba
Diego Esteban
José Mateo Mejía Piedrahita
A. Bassi
Player Ratings ?
AEK
A. KoitaM8.7
H. MoukoudiD8.3
L. RotaD8.2
Panetolikos
K. AleksićF6.7
V. XenopoulosG6.6
Youssouph BadjiNone6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
AEK
AEK rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving AEK a strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
AEK stronger
HomeAway
Attack
AEK stronger
HomeAway
Defence
AEK stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
AEK stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
AEK have enjoyed an impressive unbeaten run at home across their last five outings, while Panetolikos have struggled on the road with just a solitary win and draw from their recent away fixtures. The hosts have scored in every single one of their last five matches at home and also kept three clean sheets within that same recent spell. AEK rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. AEK won the most recent meeting 5-0 on 14 December 2025, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Panetolikos's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 12-day comparison window, AEK's implied win probability has risen by 2.1 percentage points, while Panetolikos's implied win probability has fallen by 0.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives AEK a strong edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
13
AEK points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards AEK
AEK's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a AEK win as more likely than it did 12 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
AEK win
Latest market chance 83.7%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
81.6% → 83.7%
+2.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 11.3%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
12.6% → 11.3%
−1.3 pts
Panetolikos win
Latest market chance 5.0%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
5.8% → 5.0%
−0.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
AEK
Draw
Panetolikos
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AEKPanetolikos
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
9th
6
Games Played
7
2.33
Points/Game
1.29
2.67
Goals/Game
1.14
0.50
Conceded/Game
1.57
18.0
Shots/Game
9.7
6.3
Shots on Target
2.5
Home vs Away Context
AEK at home (6 matches) vs Panetolikos away (6 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
0.50
3.50
Goals/Game
0.33
0.33
Conceded/Game
2.50
100%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
AEK
Home form
W
D
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
2 of these matches from last season.
3.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Panetolikos
Away form
D
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
1 of these match from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
AEK Wins
3
Draws
1
Panetolikos Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.4
Panetolikos0 – 5AEK
AEK1 – 0Panetolikos
AEK1 – 0Panetolikos
Panetolikos1 – 0AEK
Panetolikos2 – 2AEK
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
AEKvs
Panetolikos
Recent Scoring Profile
2.20
Goals scored / game
0.90
0.70
Goals conceded / game
1.80
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
0/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 64.6%→Latest 67.0%+2.4 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 41.2%→Latest 41.6%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of AEK's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?