AEK vs Levadeiakos Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Allwyn Arena
Sun 08 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.18
Draw
7.34
Away Win
15.07
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
AEK
Levadeiakos
26'
⚽ Moses David Cobnan (Alexandru Grigoraş Pantea)
Luka Jovic ⚽ (P)
51'
Barnabás Varga (Mijat Gaćinović) ⚽
55'
Mijat Gaćinović 🟨
72'
Barnabás Varga 🟨
77'
Răzvan Marin 🟥
80'
Aboubakary Koita 🟨
90+4'
Match Statistics ?
69%
Ball Possession
31%
16
Total Shots
7
5
Shots on Goal
2
10
Corner Kicks
6
13
Fouls
9
3
Yellow Cards
0
1
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
AEK (4-4-2)
A. Brignoli
Spyros Christakopoulos
H. Moukoudi
Filipe Relvas
S. Pilios
L. Majer
P. Mantalos
R. Marin
A. Koita
B. Varga
L. Jović
Levadeiakos (5-3-2)
N. Eliasi
G. Manthatis
G. Kornezos
P. Liagas
Jonathan Panzo
A. Pantea
A. Șut
G. Nikas
I. Kosti
M. Cobnan
Octavian Popescu
Player Ratings ?
AEK
B. VargaF8.0
A. KoitaM7.2
L. MajerM7.1
Levadeiakos
M. CobnanF7.6
A. PanteaD6.7
P. LiagasD6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
AEK
AEK rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving AEK a very strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
AEK stronger
HomeAway
Attack
AEK stronger
HomeAway
Defence
AEK stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
AEK stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
AEK arrive at home with an impressive unbeaten record in their last five outings, securing four victories and a draw, while Levadeiakos struggle away from the ground having failed to win any of their last five matches on the road. At home, AEK have scored in all five of their most recent fixtures but have managed just four clean sheets during that same period. AEK rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. AEK won the most recent meeting 4-0 on 22 February 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Levadeiakos's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 14-day comparison window, AEK's implied win probability has fallen by 2.5 percentage points, while Levadeiakos's implied win probability has risen by 1.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison points very strongly towards AEK.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Levadeiakos losing run
13
AEK points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from AEK
AEK's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a AEK win as less likely than it did 14 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
AEK win
Latest market chance 79.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
81.9% → 79.4%
−2.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 14.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
12.8% → 14.4%
+1.6 pts
Levadeiakos win
Latest market chance 6.2%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
5.2% → 6.2%
+1.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
AEK
Draw
Levadeiakos
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AEKLevadeiakos
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
11th
8
Games Played
9
2.13
Points/Game
0.67
2.62
Goals/Game
0.33
0.62
Conceded/Game
1.22
18.0
Shots/Game
9.7
6.3
Shots on Target
2.6
Home vs Away Context
AEK at home (6 matches) vs Levadeiakos away (7 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
0.29
3.50
Goals/Game
0.29
0.33
Conceded/Game
1.71
100%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
AEK
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
3.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Levadeiakos
Away form
D
L
L
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
0.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
AEK Wins
4
Draws
1
Levadeiakos Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.6
AEK2 – 1Levadeiakos
AEK4 – 0Levadeiakos
Levadeiakos0 – 1AEK
AEK1 – 1Levadeiakos
Levadeiakos0 – 3AEK
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
AEKvs
Levadeiakos
Recent Scoring Profile
2.10
Goals scored / game
0.70
0.90
Goals conceded / game
0.80
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
1/10
2/10
Failed to Score
7/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 62.2%→Latest 58.0%−4.2 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 39.8%→Latest 37.5%−2.3 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?