Virtus Entella vs Modena Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadio Comunale
Sun 08 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.13
Draw
3.08
Away Win
2.55
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
Virtus Entella
Modena
6'
⚽ Daniele Montevago (Gastón Brugman)
10'
⚽ Daniele Montevago
Luigi Cuppone 🟨
29'
34'
🟨 Giacomo Olzer
Luca Vignali 🟨
38'
Andrea Chiappella 🟥
46'
Stefano Di Mario 🟨
54'
Andrea Franzoni 🟨
76'
Andrea Tiritiello 🟥
87'
Match Statistics ?
46%
Ball Possession
54%
9
Total Shots
15
2
Shots on Goal
7
3
Corner Kicks
3
14
Fouls
15
4
Yellow Cards
1
1
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Virtus Entella (3-5-2)
F. Del Frate
N. Previtali
A. Tiritiello
I. Marconi
F. Mezzoni
L. Vignali
Lucas Felippe
A. Franzoni
Stefano Di Mario
L. Cuppone
M. Tirelli
Modena (4-3-2-1)
L. Chichizola
A. Imputato
F. Folino
D. Adorni
B. Nieling
S. Santoro
G. Brugman
A. Bianco
G. Olzer
G. Ambrosino
D. Montevago
Player Ratings ?
Virtus Entella
Lucas FelippeM7.2
Marwane KrittaNone6.8
F. Del FrateG6.7
Modena
D. MontevagoF8.8
G. BrugmanM7.6
A. BiancoM7.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Virtus Entella edge head-to-head, Modena edge recent form and attack, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Modena stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Modena stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Virtus Entella stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Modena have secured three wins and a single draw from their last five away fixtures, whereas Virtus Entella remain winless at home with just three draws and two defeats in their recent outings. Virtus Entella have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same sample, conceding in every game at this venue. Modena rate stronger on form and attack, while Virtus Entella rate stronger on head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Virtus Entella won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 3 March 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Modena's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Virtus Entella's implied win probability has risen by 1.2 percentage points, while Modena's implied win probability has fallen by 1.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
3
Virtus Entella points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Modena
Modena's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Modena win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Virtus Entella win
Latest market chance 32.0%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
30.8% → 32.0%
+1.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 30.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.6% → 30.0%
+0.4 pts
Modena win
Latest market chance 38.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
39.6% → 38.0%
−1.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Virtus Entella
Draw
Modena
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Virtus EntellaModena
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
3rd
10
Games Played
10
1.00
Points/Game
2.00
1.10
Goals/Game
1.80
1.20
Conceded/Game
1.00
13.8
Shots/Game
17.9
3.8
Shots on Target
5.5
Home vs Away Context
Virtus Entella at home (6 matches) vs Modena away (6 matches)
0.50
Points/Game
2.17
0.83
Goals/Game
1.83
1.50
Conceded/Game
0.83
0%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Virtus Entella
Home form
L
D
D
L
D
Winless in last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Modena
Away form
W
W
D
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Virtus Entella Wins
3
Draws
0
Modena Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.8
Virtus Entella2 – 1Modena
Modena2 – 0Virtus Entella
Virtus Entella1 – 0Modena
Modena0 – 1Virtus Entella
Modena2 – 0Virtus Entella
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Virtus Entellavs
Modena
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.90
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.10
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
4/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 46.3%→Latest 45.6%−0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.8%→Latest 52.2%−0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?