Virtus Entella vs Mantova Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadio Comunale
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.28
Draw
3.18
Away Win
3.37
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Virtus Entella
Mantova
10'
⚽ Ettore Gliozzi (Tommaso Del Lungo)
Andrea Tiritiello 🟨
36'
42'
🟨 Tommaso Del Lungo
45+3'
🟨 Francesco Modesto
M. Alborghetti 🟨
51'
55'
🟨 Stefano Cella
M Tirelli 🟨
74'
85'
🟨 matteo spinacce
90'
🟨 Bodin Tomašević
Luigi Cuppone 🟨
90'
90+1'
🟨 Simone Trimboli
Leonardo Benedetti 🟨
90+1'
Match Statistics ?
44%
Ball Possession
56%
15
Total Shots
7
4
Shots on Goal
3
5
Corner Kicks
1
16
Fouls
19
5
Yellow Cards
5
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Virtus Entella (3-5-2)
E. Torrielli
L. Parodi
A. Tiritiello
M. Alborghetti
F. Mezzoni
A. Franzoni
N. Squizzato
L. Benedetti
Stefano Di Mario
Giacomo Corona
Bernat Guiu
Mantova (3-4-2-1)
F. Bardi
B. Tomašević
S. Cella
A. Castellini
Tommaso Del Lungo
S. Trimboli
L. Ignacchiti
F. Benaissa-Yahia
R. Ilie
F. Ruocco
E. Gliozzi
Player Ratings ?
Virtus Entella
Bernat GuiuF7.0
L. ParodiD6.8
A. TiritielloD6.8
Mantova
E. GliozziF8.0
F. BardiG7.0
S. TrimboliM7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Virtus Entella edge defence, Mantova edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Mantova stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Mantova slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Virtus Entella stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Mantova slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Mantova have secured three wins from their last five away fixtures, while Virtus Entella have managed two victories in that same span at home. Virtus Entella have scored in every one of their last five home matches, though they have conceded goals in four of those five outings. Mantova rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in attack and head-to-head, while Virtus Entella rate stronger on defence. Mantova won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 6 April 2026, having won 1 of the last 2 encounters to Virtus Entella's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Virtus Entella win
Latest market chance 41.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
41.3% → 41.0%
−0.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.4% → 29.8%
+0.4 pts
Mantova win
Latest market chance 29.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.3% → 29.2%
−0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Virtus Entella
Draw
Mantova
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Virtus EntellaMantova
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
2nd
7
Games Played
7
1.29
Points/Game
2.00
1.43
Goals/Game
1.86
1.14
Conceded/Game
1.14
13.8
Shots/Game
13.3
3.8
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away Context
Virtus Entella at home (6 matches) vs Mantova away (6 matches)
0.50
Points/Game
2.33
0.83
Goals/Game
1.83
1.50
Conceded/Game
0.83
0%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Virtus Entella
Home form
W
W
L
D
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Mantova
Away form
L
W
D
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Virtus Entella Wins
1
Draws
0
Mantova Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.0
Mantova1 – 0Virtus Entella
Virtus Entella1 – 0Mantova
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Virtus Entellavs
Mantova
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.90
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.60
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 48.4%→Latest 48.7%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.5%→Latest 53.8%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
3 of Virtus Entella's 10 matches and 2 of Mantova's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?