Virtus Entella vs Avellino Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadio Comunale
Tue 27 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.14
Draw
3.21
Away Win
3.85
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Virtus Entella
Avellino
M Tirelli (Stefano Di Mario) ⚽
27'
45'
🟨 Patrick Enrici
M. Alborghetti 🟨
57'
Andrea Franzoni 🟨
63'
67'
🟨 Michael Venturi
82'
🟨 Martin Palumbo
90+4'
⚽ Emanuele Adamo (Armando Izzo)
Match Statistics ?
36%
Ball Possession
64%
11
Total Shots
17
5
Shots on Goal
2
1
Corner Kicks
4
15
Fouls
15
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Virtus Entella (3-5-2)
F. Del Frate
N. Previtali
A. Tiritiello
M. Alborghetti
L. Vignali
A. Franzoni
N. Squizzato
T. Annoni
Stefano Di Mario
L. Cuppone
M. Tirelli
Avellino (3-5-2)
T. Martinelli
A. Izzo
M. Venturi
P. Enrici
F. Missori
L. Di Maggio
G. Faticanti
D. Sounas
B. Moruzzi
A. Favilli
T. Biasci
Player Ratings ?
Virtus Entella
M. TirelliF7.6
Stefano Di MarioNone6.8
Bernat GuiuF6.8
Avellino
E. AdamoM7.8
T. MartinelliG7.7
A. IzzoD7.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Virtus Entella edge defence, Avellino edge head-to-head, recent form and attack are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Virtus Entella stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Avellino stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Avellino have managed just one win from their last five away outings, while hosts Virtus Entella mirror that exact record at home with identical splits of victories and defeats. Virtus Entella have scored in four of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same sample, conceding goals in every fixture at this venue. Virtus Entella rate stronger on defence, while Avellino rate stronger on head-to-head, while form and attack are closely matched. Avellino won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 15 March 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Virtus Entella's 0, with 3 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 2-day comparison window, Virtus Entella's implied win probability has fallen by 1.4 percentage points, while Avellino's implied win probability has risen by 1.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Virtus Entella
Virtus Entella's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Virtus Entella win as less likely than it did 2 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Virtus Entella win
Latest market chance 45.0%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
46.4% → 45.0%
−1.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.9% → 29.2%
+0.3 pts
Avellino win
Latest market chance 25.8%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
24.7% → 25.8%
+1.1 pts
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Virtus EntellaAvellino
Season Profile
This season
13th
League Position
9th
8
Games Played
8
1.13
Points/Game
1.38
1.25
Goals/Game
1.50
1.12
Conceded/Game
1.12
13.8
Shots/Game
14.0
3.8
Shots on Target
4.5
Home vs Away Context
Virtus Entella at home (6 matches) vs Avellino away (6 matches)
0.50
Points/Game
1.17
0.83
Goals/Game
1.00
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.17
0%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Virtus Entella
Home form
W
L
D
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Avellino
Away form
L
W
L
D
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Virtus Entella Wins
0
Draws
3
Avellino Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.2
Virtus Entella1 – 2Avellino
Avellino2 – 0Virtus Entella
Virtus Entella1 – 1Avellino
Avellino0 – 0Virtus Entella
Avellino2 – 2Virtus Entella
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Virtus Entellavs
Avellino
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.70
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.10
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
4/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 44.2%→Latest 44.0%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 49.8%→Latest 50.0%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
2 of Virtus Entella's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?