Vicenza vs Modena Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadio Romeo Menti
Tue 27 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.58
Draw
3.62
Away Win
2.06
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Vicenza
Modena
Bryant Nieling ⚽ (OG)
13'
17'
⚽ Andrea Belotti (Giuseppe Caso)
Nicolò Brighenti 🟨
19'
Alessandro Bellemo 🟨
62'
64'
🟨 Francesco Folino
Mattia Valoti 🟨
69'
Tommaso Corazza 🟨
84'
89'
⚽ Giuseppe Ambrosino
Match Statistics ?
46%
Ball Possession
54%
6
Total Shots
10
2
Shots on Goal
3
5
Corner Kicks
4
16
Fouls
12
4
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Vicenza (3-5-2)
R. Gagno
A. Papetti
N. Brighenti
R. Marchizza
L. Caferri
G. Pellizzari
A. Bellemo
M. Valoti
T. Corazza
N. Rauti
S. Merkaj
Modena (4-2-3-1)
L. Chichizola
F. Zampano
F. Folino
S. Nador
B. Nieling
S. Santoro
A. Bianco
G. Olzer
G. Ambrosino
G. Caso
A. Belotti
Player Ratings ?
Vicenza
A. PapettiD6.6
M. ValotiM6.5
Filippo AlessioF6.4
Modena
A. BelottiF8.0
G. AmbrosinoM7.3
S. NadorD7.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Vicenza edge head-to-head, Modena edge recent form, attack and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Modena stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Modena stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Modena stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Vicenza stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Modena have secured two wins from their last five away fixtures, while Vicenza have managed a similar tally of two victories in their home outings over the same period. Vicenza have scored in four of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that sample. Modena rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while Vicenza rate stronger on head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2016. Over the 2-day comparison window, Vicenza's implied win probability has fallen by 1.2 percentage points, while Modena's implied win probability has risen by 0.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4/5
One-goal H2H results
46%
Modena yellow cards after 75'
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Vicenza
Vicenza's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Vicenza win as less likely than it did 2 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Modena remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Vicenza win
Latest market chance 27.2%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
28.4% → 27.2%
−1.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.1% → 26.7%
+0.6 pts
Modena win
Latest market chance 46.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
45.4% → 46.1%
+0.7 pts
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
VicenzaModena
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
3rd
8
Games Played
8
1.13
Points/Game
2.00
1.38
Goals/Game
1.88
1.88
Conceded/Game
1.00
12.3
Shots/Game
17.9
3.3
Shots on Target
5.5
Home vs Away Context
Vicenza at home (5 matches) vs Modena away (6 matches)
0.80
Points/Game
2.17
1.20
Goals/Game
1.83
2.40
Conceded/Game
0.83
20%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Vicenza
Home form
L
W
W
D
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Modena
Away form
L
W
W
D
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Vicenza Wins
4
Draws
0
Modena Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.0
Vicenza2 – 1Modena
Modena0 – 1Vicenza
Modena1 – 2Vicenza
Vicenza0 – 2Modena
Modena0 – 1Vicenza
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Vicenzavs
Modena
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.80
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.10
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.9%→Latest 56.0%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.9%→Latest 59.1%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Vicenza's 10 matches and 1 of Modena's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?