Verona vs Pisa Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 16:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.34
Draw
3.50
Away Win
3.13
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Verona
Pisa
47'
🟨 Rosen Bozhinov
50'
🟨 Arturo Calabresi
Edoardo Iannoni (Amin Sarr) ⚽
51'
84'
⚽ Tommaso Marras
Nunzio Lella 🟥
90+2'
90+5'
🟨 Gabriele Piccinini
Match Statistics ?
42%
Ball Possession
58%
11
Total Shots
20
3
Shots on Goal
4
4
Corner Kicks
8
9
Fouls
7
0
Yellow Cards
3
1
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Verona (4-2-3-1)
S. Perilli
G. Zappa
A. Edmundsson
T. Slotsager
D. De Battisti
A. Le Borgne
G. Kastanos
D. Livramento
E. Iannoni
A. Sarr
D. Mosquera
Pisa (3-4-2-1)
A. Confente
A. Calabresi
A. Primasso
R. Bozhinov
S. Zanon
F. Loyola
O. Correia
S. Angori
S. Moreo
E. Rao
A. Petagna
Player Ratings ?
Verona
E. IannoniM8.2
A. SarrM7.7
T. SlotsagerD7.3
Pisa
T. MarrasF8.2
A. PrimassoD7.3
S. AngoriM7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Pisa edge recent form and defence, attack and head-to-head are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Pisa stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Pisa slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Pisa have shown resilience on the road with three wins and a draw from their last five away outings, while Verona remain solid at home with two victories and two draws in their recent five matches. Verona have found the net in every one of their last five home games but have managed just a single clean sheet during that same span. Pisa rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in defence, while attack and head-to-head are closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 6 February 2026, ended level, with 4 of the last 4 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 0.5 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards the draw
the draw's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a draw as more likely than it did 5 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Verona remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Verona win
Latest market chance 41.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
42.4% → 41.7%
−0.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.4%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
26.6% → 27.4%
+0.8 pts
Pisa win
Latest market chance 31.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
31.0% → 31.0%
±0.0 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
6 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Oct 20Oct 21Oct 22Oct 24Oct 25
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Verona
Draw
Pisa
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Verona
Pisa
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
6th
7
Games Played
7
1.14
Points/Game
1.86
2.00
Goals/Game
2.00
1.71
Conceded/Game
1.29
15.5
Shots/Game
16.1
5.1
Shots on Target
6.0
Home vs Away Context
Verona at home (9 matches) vs Pisa away (7 matches)
1.78
Points/Game
1.29
2.22
Goals/Game
1.43
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.14
44%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Verona
Home form
W
W
D
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2.4
Goals scored
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Pisa
Away form
L
W
D
W
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Verona Wins
0
Draws
5
Pisa Wins
0
Avg Goals
0.8
2026-10-242026-2027
Verona1 – 1Pisa
2026-02-062025-2026
Verona0 – 0Pisa
2025-10-182025-2026
Pisa0 – 0Verona
2017-03-262016-2017
Verona1 – 1Pisa
2016-10-252016-2017
Pisa0 – 0Verona
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Verona
vs
Pisa
Recent Scoring Profile
1.90
Goals scored / game
2.00
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.40
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
9/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
0/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
75.0%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
51.6%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
31.0%
BTTSBoth teams score
56.6%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.6%→Latest 52.8%−1.8 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Oct 20Oct 21Oct 22Oct 24Oct 25
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.2%→Latest 56.9%−1.3 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Oct 20Oct 21Oct 22Oct 24Oct 25
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
2 of Pisa's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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