Verona vs Catanzaro Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 19:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.84
Draw
3.78
Away Win
4.27
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Verona
Catanzaro
11'
⚽ Antonio Candela (Marco Imperiale)
Daniel Mosquera (Dailon Livramento) ⚽
37'
Dailon Livramento 🟨
41'
Daniel Mosquera (Amin Sarr) ⚽
67'
75'
⚽ (P) Emanuele Pecorino
76'
🟨 Gabriele Alesi
90+1'
🟨 Marco Imperiale
Match Statistics ?
57%
Ball Possession
43%
25
Total Shots
7
6
Shots on Goal
4
13
Corner Kicks
0
21
Fouls
11
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Verona (4-2-3-1)
S. Perilli
G. Zappa
N. Calabrese
P. Dawidowicz
D. De Battisti
A. Le Borgne
A. Bernede
D. Livramento
E. Iannoni
A. Sarr
D. Mosquera
Catanzaro (3-5-2)
M. Pigliacelli
M. Ruggero
Matias Antonini
M. Imperiale
A. Candela
N. Mosti
J. Petriccione
S. Giovane
F. Di Francesco
E. Pecorino
P. Iemmello
Player Ratings ?
Verona
D. MosqueraF9.8
A. SarrM7.4
D. LivramentoM7.2
Catanzaro
A. CandelaM8.2
E. PecorinoF7.4
Matias AntoniniD6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Verona
Verona rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Verona a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Verona stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Verona stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Verona stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Verona stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Verona have secured three victories from their last five home outings, whereas Catanzaro have managed just a solitary win across their corresponding away fixtures in that same span. The hosts have found the net in every one of their last five home matches but have only managed to keep a clean sheet once during that identical period. Verona rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2006. Over the 4-day comparison window, Verona's implied win probability has risen by 0.8 percentage points, while Catanzaro's implied win probability has fallen by 1.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Verona a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Catanzaro losing run
50%
Catanzaro yellow cards after 75'
3
Catanzaro points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Catanzaro
Catanzaro's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Catanzaro win as less likely than it did 4 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Verona remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Verona win
Latest market chance 51.8%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
51.0% → 51.8%
+0.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.1% → 25.5%
+0.4 pts
Catanzaro win
Latest market chance 22.8%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
23.9% → 22.8%
−1.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Verona
Draw
Catanzaro
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
VeronaCatanzaro
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
20th
6
Games Played
6
1.17
Points/Game
0.50
2.00
Goals/Game
1.00
1.67
Conceded/Game
2.00
15.5
Shots/Game
13.9
5.1
Shots on Target
4.1
Home vs Away Context
Verona at home (9 matches) vs Catanzaro away (8 matches)
1.78
Points/Game
0.38
2.22
Goals/Game
1.12
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.88
44%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Verona
Home form
L
W
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Catanzaro
Away form
W
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight away
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Verona Wins
2
Draws
2
Catanzaro Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.0
Catanzaro0 – 0Verona
Verona1 – 0Catanzaro
Catanzaro1 – 1Verona
Verona4 – 1Catanzaro
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Veronavs
Catanzaro
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
0.90
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.90
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.6%→Latest 52.6%−1.0 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.4%→Latest 55.5%−0.9 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Verona's 10 matches and 3 of Catanzaro's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?