Verona vs Carrarese Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Sun 01 Nov 2026 · 16:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.63
Draw
4.17
Away Win
5.55
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
Verona
Carrarese
Abdou Harroui (Gabriele Zappa) ⚽
10'
Daniel Mosquera ⚽
22'
Amin Sarr (Kacper Sezonienko) ⚽
38'
Dailon Livramento 🟨
64'
Match Statistics ?
42%
Ball Possession
58%
12
Total Shots
16
5
Shots on Goal
5
5
Corner Kicks
9
13
Fouls
7
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Verona (4-3-3)
S. Perilli
G. Zappa
T. Slotsager
A. Edmundsson
M. Frese
A. Harroui
A. Le Borgne
A. Bernede
K. Sezonienko
D. Mosquera
A. Sarr
Carrarese (3-5-2)
S. Pizzignacco
F. Ruggeri
F. Oliana
F. Reale
G. Parlanti
Nicolás Schiavi
M. Braunöder
L. Topalović
J. Rouhi
F. Abiuso
G. Marconi
Player Ratings ?
Verona
A. SarrF8.2
D. MosqueraF8.0
S. PerilliG7.8
Carrarese
T. RubinoF7.0
F. RuggeriD6.9
M. BraunöderM6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Verona edge recent form and attack, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Verona stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Verona stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Carrarese have recorded two victories from their last five away outings, while Verona remain unbeaten in their last five home fixtures with four draws and a solitary win. Verona have found the net in all five of their recent home matches yet have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same run. Verona rate stronger on form and attack, while defence is closely matched. Over the 5-day comparison window, Verona's implied win probability has fallen by 4.4 percentage points, while Carrarese's implied win probability has risen by 3.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Verona
Verona's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Verona win as less likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Verona win
Latest market chance 58.7%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
63.1% → 58.7%
−4.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.9%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
21.8% → 22.9%
+1.1 pts
Carrarese win
Latest market chance 18.4%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
15.1% → 18.4%
+3.3 pts
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
VeronaCarrarese
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
15th
9
Games Played
9
1.33
Points/Game
1.11
1.78
Goals/Game
1.00
1.44
Conceded/Game
1.11
15.5
Shots/Game
13.0
5.1
Shots on Target
3.4
Home vs Away Context
Verona at home (9 matches) vs Carrarese away (8 matches)
1.78
Points/Game
0.88
2.22
Goals/Game
0.88
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.50
44%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Verona
Home form
D
D
D
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Carrarese
Away form
W
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Verona Wins
1
Draws
0
Carrarese Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.0
Verona3 – 0Carrarese
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Veronavs
Carrarese
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.20
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
0/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.3%→Latest 56.3%+1.0 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.7%→Latest 54.2%+3.5 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?