Sudtirol vs Cesena Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadio Druso
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.36
Draw
3.20
Away Win
3.34
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Sudtirol
Cesena
Fabio Rispoli (Simone Tronchin) ⚽
23'
Simone Tronchin 🟨
37'
49'
🟨 Massimiliano Mangraviti
65'
⚽ Cristian Shpendi (Dimitri Bisoli)
69'
🟨 Gianluca Frabotta
86'
🟨 Mihajlo Ilic
90+3'
🟨 Matteo Francesconi
Match Statistics ?
46%
Ball Possession
54%
16
Total Shots
25
5
Shots on Goal
7
2
Corner Kicks
4
10
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
6
6
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Sudtirol (5-4-1)
A. Plizzari
S. Molina
R. Stivanello
A. Giorgini
G. Stabile
F. Davi
Vasco Lopes
Fabio Rispoli
S. Tronchin
R. Burnete
K. Mixtur
Cesena (4-3-3)
A. Siano
A. Ciofi
M. Ilić
M. Mangraviti
G. Frabotta
E. Bohinen
R. Pagano
M. Guidi
X. Druiventak
C. Shpendi
A. Fiori
Player Ratings ?
Sudtirol
Fabio RispoliM8.2
A. PlizzariG7.8
A. GiorginiD7.0
Cesena
C. ShpendiF8.2
A. FioriF7.2
D. BisoliM7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Sudtirol edge recent form and defence, Cesena edge head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sudtirol stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Sudtirol stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Cesena stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Cesena have secured just one victory from their last five away fixtures, whereas Sudtirol remain unbeaten at home with two wins and three draws in the same span. Sudtirol have found the net in four of their last five home matches while keeping clean sheets in three of that same sample. Sudtirol rate stronger on form and defence, while Cesena rate stronger on head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 6 April 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 4 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 1.5 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Sudtirol's implied win probability has fallen by 2.0 percentage points, while Cesena's implied win probability has risen by 1.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Sudtirol
Sudtirol's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Sudtirol win as less likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sudtirol win
Latest market chance 41.2%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
43.2% → 41.2%
−2.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.9%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
28.1% → 28.9%
+0.8 pts
Cesena win
Latest market chance 29.9%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
28.7% → 29.9%
+1.2 pts
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SudtirolCesena
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
12th
9
Games Played
9
1.44
Points/Game
1.22
1.11
Goals/Game
1.11
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.44
11.7
Shots/Game
13.0
3.5
Shots on Target
3.5
Home vs Away Context
Sudtirol at home (6 matches) vs Cesena away (5 matches)
1.67
Points/Game
1.00
1.00
Goals/Game
0.80
0.50
Conceded/Game
1.60
33%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sudtirol
Home form
W
W
D
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Cesena
Away form
D
W
D
L
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sudtirol Wins
0
Draws
2
Cesena Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.5
Cesena1 – 1Sudtirol
Sudtirol0 – 1Cesena
Sudtirol1 – 1Cesena
Cesena1 – 0Sudtirol
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Sudtirolvs
Cesena
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.40
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
4/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 47.5%→Latest 47.2%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.3%→Latest 52.6%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?