Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Luigi Ferraris
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 18:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.38
Draw
3.05
Away Win
3.48
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Sampdoria
Virtus Entella
19'
🟨 Francesco Mezzoni
Andrea Tiritiello ⚽ (OG)
23'
31'
🟨 Luca Vignali
Manuel Cicconi 🟨
32'
33'
🟨 Bernat Guiu
Lorenzo Mezzotero (Tjas Begic) ⚽
42'
45+2'
🟨 Ivan Marconi
Kevin Mbabu 🟨
90+2'
Match Statistics ?
38%
Ball Possession
62%
6
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Goal
3
4
Corner Kicks
2
20
Fouls
9
2
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Sampdoria (4-3-3)
Andrey Krastev
K. Mbabu
S. Gartenmann
F. Delli Carri
M. Cicconi
L. Henderson
A. Makoumbou
O. Abildgaard
T. Begić
G. Tutino
Y. Verschaeren
Virtus Entella (3-5-2)
F. Del Frate
F. Mezzoni
A. Tiritiello
M. Alborghetti
L. Vignali
A. Franzoni
N. Squizzato
L. Benedetti
Stefano Di Mario
M. Tirelli
Bernat Guiu
Player Ratings ?
Sampdoria
T. BegićF7.7
L. MezzoteroF7.5
Andrey KrastevG6.8
Virtus Entella
Lucas FelippeM7.1
M. AlborghettiD6.6
L. CupponeF6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Virtus Entella
Virtus Entella rate stronger in recent form, defence and head-to-head; attack is closely matched, giving Virtus Entella a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Virtus Entella stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Virtus Entella stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Virtus Entella stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Virtus Entella have secured two victories and a draw from their last five away fixtures, while Sampdoria have recorded two wins but suffered three defeats in their corresponding home outings over the same period. Sampdoria have found the net in all five of their recent home matches and have managed just one clean sheet during that span. Virtus Entella rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 16 January 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 2 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Sampdoria's implied win probability has fallen by 2.6 percentage points, while Virtus Entella's implied win probability has risen by 0.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Virtus Entella a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Sampdoria losing run
47%
Virtus Entella yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Sampdoria
Sampdoria's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Sampdoria win as less likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sampdoria win
Latest market chance 41.0%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
44.7% → 41.0%
−3.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 30.2%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
28.0% → 30.2%
+2.2 pts
Virtus Entella win
Latest market chance 28.8%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
27.3% → 28.8%
+1.5 pts
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SampdoriaVirtus Entella
Season Profile
This season
19th
League Position
13th
9
Games Played
9
0.56
Points/Game
1.11
0.89
Goals/Game
1.22
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.11
13.7
Shots/Game
13.8
4.5
Shots on Target
3.8
Home vs Away Context
Sampdoria at home (5 matches) vs Virtus Entella away (5 matches)
1.20
Points/Game
1.40
1.40
Goals/Game
1.20
1.40
Conceded/Game
1.00
40%
Win Rate
40%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sampdoria
Home form
W
L
W
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Virtus Entella
Away form
L
L
W
D
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sampdoria Wins
0
Draws
1
Virtus Entella Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.0
Sampdoria1 – 1Virtus Entella
Virtus Entella3 – 1Sampdoria
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Sampdoriavs
Virtus Entella
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.30
2.30
Goals conceded / game
1.10
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 45.0%→Latest 44.3%−0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.3%→Latest 50.5%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
1 of Virtus Entella's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?