Pisa vs Sudtirol Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Arena Garibaldi
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.61
Draw
4.08
Away Win
5.77
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Pisa
Sudtirol
1'
🟨 Alvin Okoro
7'
🟨 Andrea Giorgini
Matteo Tramoni (Mehdi Léris) ⚽
26'
Felipe Loyola 🟨
32'
33'
⚽ Aljosa Vasic
Filippo Pittarello 🟨
44'
Mehdi Léris (Matteo Tramoni) ⚽
73'
76'
⚽ Aljosa Vasic
89'
🟥 Aljosa Vasic
Match Statistics ?
47%
Ball Possession
53%
15
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
4
8
Corner Kicks
4
10
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
1
2
Offsides
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Pisa (3-4-2-1)
A. Confente
A. Calabresi
A. Primasso
S. Angori
T. Marras
F. Loyola
O. Correia
M. Léris
S. Moreo
M. Tramoni
F. Pittarello
Sudtirol (3-4-2-1)
A. Plizzari
R. Stivanello
A. Giorgini
G. Stabile
S. Molina
Fabio Rispoli
S. Tronchin
A. Vasic
Vasco Lopes
R. Burnete
A. Okoro
Player Ratings ?
Pisa
M. LérisM8.3
M. TramoniM7.7
A. PetagnaF6.9
Sudtirol
A. VasicM7.8
S. MolinaM7.0
Vasco LopesM6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Pisa edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Pisa stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Pisa stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Pisa stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Pisa have secured two victories and drawn twice in their last five home outings, while Sudtirol have managed just a single win and one draw from five away fixtures. The hosts have scored in every one of their last five matches at home but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. Pisa rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 9 May 2025, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.4 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Pisa's implied win probability has fallen by 0.0 percentage points, while Sudtirol's implied win probability has fallen by 0.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
48%
Pisa yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards the draw
the draw's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a draw as more likely than it did 5 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Pisa remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Pisa win
Latest market chance 59.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
59.4% → 59.4%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.4%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
22.6% → 23.4%
+0.8 pts
Sudtirol win
Latest market chance 17.2%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
18.0% → 17.2%
−0.8 pts
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
PisaSudtirol
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
9th
10
Games Played
10
1.50
Points/Game
1.40
1.80
Goals/Game
1.10
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.00
16.1
Shots/Game
11.7
6.0
Shots on Target
3.5
Home vs Away Context
Pisa at home (7 matches) vs Sudtirol away (6 matches)
1.29
Points/Game
0.83
2.00
Goals/Game
1.17
2.14
Conceded/Game
2.00
29%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Pisa
Home form
W
L
W
D
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sudtirol
Away form
D
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Pisa Wins
2
Draws
2
Sudtirol Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.4
Pisa3 – 3Sudtirol
Sudtirol1 – 2Pisa
Pisa2 – 2Sudtirol
Sudtirol1 – 2Pisa
Pisa0 – 1Sudtirol
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Pisavs
Sudtirol
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.90
Goals conceded / game
1.30
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.7%→Latest 53.0%−1.7 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.1%→Latest 51.6%−1.5 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?