Pisa vs Palermo Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Arena Garibaldi
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.45
Draw
3.16
Away Win
3.18
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 3
Match Events ?
Pisa
Palermo
Filippo Pittarello (Simone Zanon) ⚽
26'
Filippo Pittarello (Rosen Bozhinov) ⚽
40'
Andrea Primasso 🟨
45+2'
53'
⚽ Dennis Johnsen (Tommaso Augello)
57'
⚽ Patryk Peda (Joel Pohjanpalo)
69'
⚽ Dominic Vavassori
Tommaso Marras (Emanuele Rao) ⚽
80'
Felipe Loyola 🟨
82'
Match Statistics ?
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
13
6
Shots on Goal
5
5
Corner Kicks
3
10
Fouls
9
2
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
5
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Pisa (3-4-2-1)
A. Confente
A. Primasso
R. Bozhinov
S. Angori
S. Zanon
F. Loyola
O. Correia
M. Léris
T. Marras
S. Moreo
F. Pittarello
Palermo (4-2-3-1)
M. Perin
N. Pierozzi
M. Bani
P. Peda
T. Augello
N. Estévez
F. Ranocchia
E. Gyasi
L. Mazzitelli
D. Johnsen
J. Pohjanpalo
Player Ratings ?
Pisa
F. PittarelloF8.8
T. MarrasM7.4
E. RaoF7.0
Palermo
D. VavassoriF7.9
T. AugelloD7.2
J. PohjanpaloF7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Pisa edge head-to-head, Palermo edge recent form, attack and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Palermo stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Pisa stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Palermo have enjoyed a solid run away from home with three wins and just one defeat in their last five outings, while Pisa sit on an impressive record of three victories from five matches at the top end of the table across their recent home fixtures. Pisa have found the net in four of their last five matches at this venue, though they have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same recent home sample. Palermo rate stronger on form, while Pisa rate stronger on head-to-head, while attack and defence are closely matched. Pisa won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 31 January 2025, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Palermo's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.8 goals per meeting. Over the 2-day comparison window, Pisa's implied win probability has risen by 2.3 percentage points, while Palermo's implied win probability has fallen by 2.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Pisa
Pisa's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Pisa win as more likely than it did 2 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Pisa win
Latest market chance 39.2%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
36.9% → 39.2%
+2.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.9% → 28.7%
−0.2 pts
Palermo win
Latest market chance 32.1%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
34.2% → 32.1%
−2.1 pts
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
PisaPalermo
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
1st
8
Games Played
8
1.75
Points/Game
2.75
1.88
Goals/Game
2.25
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.00
16.1
Shots/Game
18.1
6.0
Shots on Target
6.1
Home vs Away Context
Pisa at home (7 matches) vs Palermo away (7 matches)
1.29
Points/Game
1.86
2.00
Goals/Game
2.43
2.14
Conceded/Game
1.71
29%
Win Rate
43%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Pisa
Home form
L
W
L
W
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Palermo
Away form
W
D
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 away
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Pisa Wins
3
Draws
1
Palermo Wins
1
Avg Goals
4.6
Pisa3 – 3Palermo
Palermo1 – 2Pisa
Pisa2 – 0Palermo
Pisa4 – 3Palermo
Palermo3 – 2Pisa
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Pisavs
Palermo
Recent Scoring Profile
1.90
Goals scored / game
2.30
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.20
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
1/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.7%→Latest 55.6%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.2%→Latest 60.9%+0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?