Pisa vs Cremonese Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Arena Garibaldi
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 18:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.17
Draw
3.20
Away Win
3.75
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Pisa
Cremonese
Matteo Tramoni (Stefano Moreo) ⚽
3'
32'
⚽ Tommaso Berti (Jari Vandeputte)
Arturo Calabresi 🟨
32'
35'
🟨 Marco Nasti
53'
🟨 Tommaso Barbieri
Mehdi Léris 🟨
67'
Stefano Moreo ⚽
79'
81'
🟨 Alessandro Vogliacco
Tommaso Marras ⚽
88'
Tommaso Marras 🟨
89'
Andrea Primasso 🟨
90'
Match Statistics ?
55%
Ball Possession
45%
14
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
3
7
Corner Kicks
6
11
Fouls
11
4
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Pisa (3-4-2-1)
A. Confente
A. Calabresi
A. Primasso
S. Angori
S. Zanon
G. Leone
O. Correia
M. Léris
S. Moreo
M. Tramoni
F. Pittarello
Cremonese (4-1-4-1)
A. Fulignati
T. Barbieri
F. Baschirotto
S. Luperto
S. Elia
A. Grassi
Adin Ličina
M. Thorsby
T. Berti
J. Vandeputte
M. Nasti
Player Ratings ?
Pisa
S. MoreoM8.3
M. TramoniM8.2
T. MarrasF7.3
Cremonese
T. BertiM7.0
M. De LucaF6.7
A. GrassiM6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Pisa edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Pisa stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Pisa stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Pisa stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Cremonese have managed just one win from their last five away fixtures across seasons, while Pisa have recorded two victories and suffered two defeats in their home outings over the same period. At home, Pisa have scored in four of their last five matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those recent five outings. Pisa rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Cremonese won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 10 May 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Pisa's 3, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Pisa's implied win probability has risen by 1.0 percentage points, while Cremonese's implied win probability has fallen by 1.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
45%
Pisa yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Pisa
Pisa's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Pisa win as more likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Pisa win
Latest market chance 43.6%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
42.6% → 43.6%
+1.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.2% → 29.0%
−0.2 pts
Cremonese win
Latest market chance 27.3%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
28.3% → 27.3%
−1.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Pisa
Draw
Cremonese
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
PisaCremonese
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
14th
6
Games Played
6
1.67
Points/Game
1.00
1.83
Goals/Game
0.83
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.17
16.1
Shots/Game
11.8
6.0
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
Pisa at home (7 matches) vs Cremonese away (6 matches)
1.29
Points/Game
1.33
2.00
Goals/Game
1.50
2.14
Conceded/Game
1.17
29%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Pisa
Home form
D
W
L
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Cremonese
Away form
W
L
L
D
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Pisa Wins
3
Draws
0
Cremonese Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.8
Cremonese3 – 0Pisa
Pisa1 – 0Cremonese
Pisa2 – 1Cremonese
Cremonese1 – 3Pisa
Cremonese2 – 1Pisa
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Pisavs
Cremonese
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.20
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 46.5%→Latest 47.2%+0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.6%→Latest 52.0%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
4 of Pisa's 10 matches and 4 of Cremonese's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?