Palermo vs Vicenza Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Renzo Barbera
Sun 01 Nov 2026 · 18:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.53
Draw
4.22
Away Win
6.55
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Palermo
Vicenza
2'
⚽ Nicolò Brighenti (Filippo Costa)
14'
🟨 Claudio Morra
Dennis Johnsen 🟨
42'
Dennis Johnsen ⚽
45'
Dominic Vavassori (Jacopo Segre) ⚽
53'
Luca Mazzitelli 🟨
82'
Dominic Vavassori ⚽
85'
Match Statistics ?
46%
Ball Possession
54%
22
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
2
4
Corner Kicks
4
9
Fouls
16
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Palermo (4-2-3-1)
M. Perin
T. Cassandro
P. Peda
P. Ceccaroni
T. Augello
F. Ranocchia
J. Segre
D. Vavassori
Hernani
D. Johnsen
J. Pohjanpalo
Vicenza (3-4-1-2)
R. Gagno
A. Papetti
N. Brighenti
R. Marchizza
A. Pietrelli
M. Carraro
A. Bellemo
F. Costa
M. Valoti
S. Merkaj
C. Morra
Player Ratings ?
Palermo
D. VavassoriM7.9
D. JohnsenM7.7
P. CeccaroniD6.9
Vicenza
N. BrighentiD7.3
M. ValotiM6.7
M. CarraroM6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Palermo
Palermo rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Palermo an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Palermo stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Palermo stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Palermo stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Palermo stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Palermo arrive at home with a perfect record from their last five outings, while Vicenza have secured just two wins in that same span away from home. The hosts have found the net in all five of their recent home matches but have only kept a clean sheet once during that period. Palermo rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2004. Over the 5-day comparison window, Palermo's implied win probability has risen by 1.5 percentage points, while Vicenza's implied win probability has fallen by 2.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Palermo.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Palermo unbeaten run
15
Palermo points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Vicenza
Vicenza's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Vicenza win as less likely than it did 5 days ago. Palermo remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Palermo win
Latest market chance 61.6%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
60.1% → 61.6%
+1.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.3% → 22.0%
+0.7 pts
Vicenza win
Latest market chance 16.3%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
18.6% → 16.3%
−2.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Palermo
Draw
Vicenza
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
PalermoVicenza
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
17th
9
Games Played
9
2.56
Points/Game
1.00
2.33
Goals/Game
1.33
1.22
Conceded/Game
1.89
18.1
Shots/Game
12.3
6.1
Shots on Target
3.3
Home vs Away Context
Palermo at home (7 matches) vs Vicenza away (8 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
1.00
2.29
Goals/Game
1.38
0.86
Conceded/Game
1.88
100%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Palermo
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Vicenza
Away form
L
D
W
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Palermo Wins
4
Draws
1
Vicenza Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.4
Palermo3 – 1Vicenza
Palermo3 – 0Vicenza
Vicenza0 – 0Palermo
Palermo1 – 0Vicenza
Vicenza1 – 3Palermo
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Palermovs
Vicenza
Recent Scoring Profile
2.50
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.80
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
9/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
0/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 62.8%→Latest 61.5%−1.3 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.3%→Latest 57.4%−1.9 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?