Padova vs Virtus Entella Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadio Comunale Euganeo
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.66
Draw
2.83
Away Win
3.23
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Padova
Virtus Entella
Stefano Di Mario ⚽ (OG)
28'
54'
⚽ Andrea Tiritiello
Giovanni·Giunti 🟨
74'
84'
⚽ Bernat Guiu (Luca Vignali)
90+4'
🟨 Andrea Franzoni
Match Statistics ?
45%
Ball Possession
55%
6
Total Shots
17
1
Shots on Goal
7
4
Corner Kicks
6
7
Fouls
7
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Padova (3-5-2)
A. Sorrentino
Alessandro Dellavalle
M. Lovato
C. Pastina
L. Carissoni
G. Giunti
E. Zuelli
M. Pompetti
M. Cocchi
G. Artistico
K. Lasagna
Virtus Entella (3-5-2)
F. Del Frate
L. Parodi
A. Tiritiello
M. Alborghetti
F. Mezzoni
T. Annoni
N. Squizzato
A. Franzoni
Stefano Di Mario
M. Tirelli
L. Cuppone
Player Ratings ?
Padova
M. PompettiM6.9
Alessandro DellavalleD6.8
M. LovatoD6.7
Virtus Entella
Bernat GuiuF7.7
T. AnnoniM7.6
M. AlborghettiD7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Padova edge recent form, Virtus Entella edge attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Padova slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Virtus Entella slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Virtus Entella slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Virtus Entella slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Virtus Entella have managed just one win from their last five away fixtures, while Padova have secured two victories in that same span at home. Padova have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have also kept two clean sheets during that identical run. Padova hold a slight advantage in form, while Virtus Entella hold a slight advantage in attack and defence and head-to-head. Virtus Entella won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 25 April 2026, having won 1 of the last 2 encounters to Padova's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Padova's implied win probability has risen by 2.1 percentage points, while Virtus Entella's implied win probability has fallen by 2.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Padova
Padova's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Padova win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Padova win
Latest market chance 37.8%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
35.7% → 37.8%
+2.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 32.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
32.0% → 32.0%
±0.0 pts
Virtus Entella win
Latest market chance 30.3%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
32.4% → 30.3%
−2.1 pts
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
PadovaVirtus Entella
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
13th
6
Games Played
6
1.17
Points/Game
1.00
0.83
Goals/Game
1.33
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.17
10.9
Shots/Game
13.8
3.2
Shots on Target
3.8
Home vs Away Context
Padova at home (7 matches) vs Virtus Entella away (5 matches)
1.14
Points/Game
1.40
1.00
Goals/Game
1.20
1.29
Conceded/Game
1.00
29%
Win Rate
40%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Padova
Home form
W
D
W
L
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Virtus Entella
Away form
D
L
L
W
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Padova Wins
1
Draws
0
Virtus Entella Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.0
Virtus Entella1 – 0Padova
Padova2 – 1Virtus Entella
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Padovavs
Virtus Entella
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.10
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 45.4%→Latest 44.1%−1.3 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.3%→Latest 51.1%−1.2 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Padova's 10 matches and 4 of Virtus Entella's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?