Mantova vs Verona Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Stadio Danilo Martelli
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 16:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.54
Draw
3.41
Away Win
2.86
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Mantova
Verona
35'
🟨 Andrias Edmundsson
Rachid Kouda 🟨
43'
62'
🟨 Gabriele Zappa
Match Statistics ?
40%
Ball Possession
60%
15
Total Shots
13
1
Shots on Goal
3
3
Corner Kicks
3
12
Fouls
17
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Mantova (3-4-2-1)
F. Bardi
B. Tomašević
S. Cella
A. Castellini
F. Vesentini
S. Trimboli
R. Kouda
F. Benaissa-Yahia
D. Bragantini
F. Ruocco
V. Vlahović
Verona (4-2-3-1)
S. Perilli
G. Zappa
A. Edmundsson
P. Dawidowicz
M. Frese
A. Bernede
E. Iannoni
D. Livramento
A. Harroui
A. Sarr
D. Mosquera
Player Ratings ?
Mantova
F. BardiG7.2
S. TrimboliM7.0
S. CellaD6.9
Verona
A. BernedeM7.2
D. LivramentoM7.0
S. PerilliG6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Mantova edge recent form and defence, Verona edge attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Mantova slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Verona slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Mantova slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Verona slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Verona have recorded two wins from their last five away outings, while Mantova have secured two victories and a draw in their last five home fixtures. Mantova have scored in three of their last five matches at home but have managed just one clean sheet during that same period. Mantova hold a slight advantage in form and defence, while Verona hold a slight advantage in attack and head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2007. The market has remained broadly steady over the 3-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 3 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Mantova win
Latest market chance 37.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
37.5% → 37.7%
+0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.9% → 28.2%
+0.3 pts
Verona win
Latest market chance 34.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
34.6% → 34.1%
−0.5 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
4 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Nov 4Nov 5Nov 6Nov 7
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Mantova
Draw
Verona
10 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Mantova
Verona
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
5th
10
Games Played
10
1.80
Points/Game
1.50
1.50
Goals/Game
1.90
1.10
Conceded/Game
1.30
13.3
Shots/Game
15.5
4.8
Shots on Target
5.1
Home vs Away Context
Mantova at home (6 matches) vs Verona away (7 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
1.14
1.17
Goals/Game
1.14
1.17
Conceded/Game
1.43
33%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Mantova
Home form
W
W
D
L
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Verona
Away form
L
L
L
W
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Mantova Wins
1
Draws
2
Verona Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.2
2007-05-192006-2007
Mantova0 – 2Verona
2006-12-222006-2007
Verona0 – 3Mantova
2006-05-132005-2006
Mantova0 – 0Verona
2005-12-092005-2006
Verona2 – 2Mantova
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Mantova
vs
Verona
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.80
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.20
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
76.1%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
52.5%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
32.2%
BTTSBoth teams score
57.6%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.4%→Latest 52.4%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
7 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.6%→Latest 57.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
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