Juve Stabia vs Sudtirol Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadio Romeo Menti
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.17
Draw
3.27
Away Win
3.75
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
Juve Stabia
Sudtirol
18'
🟨 Aljosa Vasic
Marco Bellich 🟨
26'
29'
🟨 Riccardo Stivanello
Giusepe Sibilli 🟨
40'
Giusepe Sibilli (Fabio Maistro) ⚽
43'
59'
🟥 Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes
Antonio Di Nardo (Marco Bellich) ⚽
73'
Romeo Sandrucci (Terrence Douglas) ⚽
84'
Nermin Karić 🟨
88'
Match Statistics ?
66%
Ball Possession
34%
22
Total Shots
6
9
Shots on Goal
2
2
Corner Kicks
3
18
Fouls
17
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
1
1
Offsides
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Juve Stabia (4-3-3)
A. Vuković
T. Maggioni
D. Bettella
M. Bellich
T. Douglas
C. Pierobon
F. Artioli
J. Kumi
F. Maistro
Antonio Di Nardo
G. Sibilli
Sudtirol (3-4-2-1)
A. Plizzari
R. Stivanello
A. Giorgini
G. Stabile
S. Molina
Fabio Rispoli
S. Tronchin
S. Davì
Vasco Lopes
A. Vasic
A. Okoro
Player Ratings ?
Juve Stabia
G. SibilliF8.1
Antonio Di NardoF8.0
F. MaistroF7.5
Sudtirol
A. PlizzariG7.2
K. MixturF6.5
R. BurneteF6.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Juve Stabia edge head-to-head, Sudtirol edge recent form, attack and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sudtirol stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Juve Stabia stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Sudtirol have secured just one victory from their last five away outings, while Juve Stabia remain winless at home in that same span. Juve Stabia have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a single clean sheet during that period. Sudtirol rate stronger on form, while Juve Stabia rate stronger on head-to-head, while attack and defence are closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 8 May 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 4 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Juve Stabia's implied win probability has fallen by 0.1 percentage points, while Sudtirol's implied win probability has fallen by 0.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards the draw
the draw's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a draw as more likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Juve Stabia remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Juve Stabia win
Latest market chance 44.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
44.2% → 44.1%
−0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.1%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
28.0% → 29.1%
+1.1 pts
Sudtirol win
Latest market chance 26.9%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
27.8% → 26.9%
−0.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Juve Stabia
Draw
Sudtirol
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Juve StabiaSudtirol
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
5th
6
Games Played
6
1.00
Points/Game
2.00
0.83
Goals/Game
1.50
1.33
Conceded/Game
0.50
14.6
Shots/Game
11.7
4.3
Shots on Target
3.5
Home vs Away Context
Juve Stabia at home (7 matches) vs Sudtirol away (6 matches)
1.43
Points/Game
0.83
1.14
Goals/Game
1.17
0.86
Conceded/Game
2.00
43%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Juve Stabia
Home form
L
D
L
D
W
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sudtirol
Away form
L
D
D
W
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Juve Stabia Wins
3
Draws
1
Sudtirol Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.2
Juve Stabia3 – 0Sudtirol
Sudtirol1 – 1Juve Stabia
Juve Stabia1 – 0Sudtirol
Sudtirol2 – 0Juve Stabia
Juve Stabia2 – 1Sudtirol
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Juve Stabiavs
Sudtirol
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.20
Goals conceded / game
0.70
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
2/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
2/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.7%→Latest 47.2%−2.5 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.2%→Latest 52.0%−2.2 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Juve Stabia's 10 matches and 3 of Sudtirol's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?