Empoli vs Vicenza Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Carlo Castellani
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 19:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.54
Draw
3.35
Away Win
2.89
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
Empoli
Vicenza
20'
⚽ Nicola Rauti (Andrea Papetti)
Marco Curto 🟥
55'
69'
🟨 Riccardo Marchizza
Lapo Deli 🟨
73'
80'
🟨 L. Caferri
85'
⚽ Giulio Pellizzari (Loris Zonta)
Match Statistics ?
51%
Ball Possession
49%
13
Total Shots
19
5
Shots on Goal
3
4
Corner Kicks
4
12
Fouls
23
1
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Empoli (3-5-2)
J. Seghetti
L. Magnino
M. Curto
C. Cauz
K. Zedadka
F. Bandinelli
D. Degli Innocenti
E. Saporiti
N. Corrado
B. Popov
J. Ceesay
Vicenza (3-5-2)
R. Gagno
A. Papetti
N. Brighenti
R. Marchizza
L. Caferri
G. Pellizzari
A. Bellemo
M. Valoti
T. Corazza
N. Rauti
C. Morra
Player Ratings ?
Empoli
D. Degli InnocentiM6.8
L. MagninoD6.7
S. ShpendiF6.7
Vicenza
G. PellizzariM8.2
R. GagnoG7.8
N. RautiF7.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Empoli edge defence and head-to-head, Vicenza edge recent form and attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Vicenza stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Vicenza slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Empoli slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Empoli stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Vicenza have secured just a solitary victory in their last five away outings, while Empoli have managed two wins from their corresponding home sample of five matches. At this venue, Empoli have found the net in four of their last five contests but have also kept two clean sheets in that same span. Vicenza rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in attack, while Empoli rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2021. Over the 5-day comparison window, Empoli's implied win probability has fallen by 0.8 percentage points, while Vicenza's implied win probability has fallen by 0.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards the draw
the draw's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a draw as more likely than it did 5 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Empoli remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Empoli win
Latest market chance 38.9%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
39.7% → 38.9%
−0.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.3%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
27.4% → 28.3%
+0.9 pts
Vicenza win
Latest market chance 32.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
33.0% → 32.8%
−0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Empoli
Draw
Vicenza
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
EmpoliVicenza
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
18th
7
Games Played
7
1.00
Points/Game
0.86
1.00
Goals/Game
1.29
1.57
Conceded/Game
2.14
11.6
Shots/Game
12.3
3.7
Shots on Target
3.3
Home vs Away Context
Empoli at home (7 matches) vs Vicenza away (8 matches)
0.71
Points/Game
1.00
1.00
Goals/Game
1.38
1.86
Conceded/Game
1.88
14%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Empoli
Home form
D
W
W
L
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Vicenza
Away form
W
L
D
L
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Empoli Wins
3
Draws
2
Vicenza Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.2
Vicenza0 – 2Empoli
Empoli2 – 2Vicenza
Vicenza1 – 5Empoli
Empoli2 – 0Vicenza
Empoli1 – 1Vicenza
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Empolivs
Vicenza
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.60
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.0%→Latest 53.1%−1.9 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.3%→Latest 57.8%−1.5 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Empoli's 10 matches and 3 of Vicenza's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?