Empoli vs Juve Stabia Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Carlo Castellani
Sun 01 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.06
Draw
3.04
Away Win
2.67
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Empoli
Juve Stabia
33'
⚽ Antonio Di Nardo
36'
🟨 Davide Buglio
Bogdan Popov ⚽
38'
Edoardo Saporiti (Dawid Bembnista) ⚽
44'
Marco Curto 🟨
53'
59'
⚽ Antonio Di Nardo (Fabio Maistro)
Filippo Bandinelli 🟨
70'
86'
🟨 Thomas Battistella
Match Statistics ?
42%
Ball Possession
58%
15
Total Shots
19
6
Shots on Goal
6
5
Corner Kicks
5
11
Fouls
16
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Empoli (3-5-2)
J. Seghetti
D. Bembnista
G. Indragoli
M. Curto
K. Zedadka
F. Bandinelli
Gerard Yepes
E. Saporiti
N. Corrado
B. Popov
J. Ceesay
Juve Stabia (4-3-3)
A. Vuković
M. Ricciardi
D. Bettella
M. Bellich
T. Douglas
N. Karić
D. Buglio
J. Kumi
F. Maistro
Antonio Di Nardo
L. Candellone
Player Ratings ?
Empoli
E. SaporitiM8.2
B. PopovF7.8
J. SeghettiG6.6
Juve Stabia
Antonio Di NardoF9.3
F. MaistroF7.0
M. BellichD6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Juve Stabia
Juve Stabia rate stronger in recent form, defence and head-to-head; attack is closely matched, giving Juve Stabia a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Juve Stabia stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Juve Stabia stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Juve Stabia stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Juve Stabia have secured two victories in their last five away fixtures, while Empoli have suffered four defeats during that same span at home. Empoli have scored in just two of their last five home matches and managed only one clean sheet in that identical period. Juve Stabia rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. Juve Stabia won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 11 February 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Empoli's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Empoli's implied win probability has fallen by 7.3 percentage points, while Juve Stabia's implied win probability has risen by 5.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Juve Stabia a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Empoli losing run
4/5
One-goal H2H results
45%
Juve Stabia yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Empoli
Empoli's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Empoli win as less likely than it did 5 days ago. Juve Stabia remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Empoli win
Latest market chance 32.5%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
39.8% → 32.5%
−7.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 30.0%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
28.1% → 30.0%
+1.9 pts
Juve Stabia win
Latest market chance 37.5%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
32.0% → 37.5%
+5.5 pts
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
EmpoliJuve Stabia
Season Profile
This season
19th
League Position
11th
9
Games Played
9
0.78
Points/Game
1.33
0.89
Goals/Game
1.00
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.00
11.6
Shots/Game
14.6
3.7
Shots on Target
4.3
Home vs Away Context
Empoli at home (7 matches) vs Juve Stabia away (7 matches)
0.71
Points/Game
1.43
1.00
Goals/Game
1.29
1.86
Conceded/Game
1.14
14%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Empoli
Home form
L
L
L
L
D
Winless in last 5 at home
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Juve Stabia
Away form
W
D
D
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Empoli Wins
1
Draws
1
Juve Stabia Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.6
Empoli2 – 2Juve Stabia
Empoli1 – 2Juve Stabia
Juve Stabia2 – 0Empoli
Juve Stabia1 – 0Empoli
Empoli2 – 1Juve Stabia
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Empolivs
Juve Stabia
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.90
Goals conceded / game
1.00
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 47.5%→Latest 50.5%+3.0 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.8%→Latest 56.4%+3.6 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?