Cremonese vs Benevento Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadio Giovanni Zini
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.85
Draw
3.16
Away Win
2.71
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Cremonese
Benevento
26'
🟨 Raffaele Romano
35'
🟨 Mattia Maita
Tommaso Berti (Federico Bonazzoli) ⚽
44'
Adin Ličina 🟨
80'
D. Stückler 🟨
82'
Fabio Pecchia 🟨
83'
Marco Nasti ⚽
87'
90'
🟨 Simone Verdi
Tommaso Berti 🟨
90+2'
Match Statistics ?
38%
Ball Possession
62%
12
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Goal
4
1
Corner Kicks
7
9
Fouls
13
3
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Cremonese (4-4-1-1)
A. Fulignati
D. Lordkipanidze
F. Baschirotto
S. Luperto
G. Pezzella
S. Elia
Simone Lottici Tessadri
T. Berti
J. Vandeputte
M. Thorsby
F. Bonazzoli
Benevento (4-3-3)
G. Vannucchi
Raffaele Romano
P. Saio
C. Dalle Mura
L. Sernicola
D. Lamesta
A. Prisco
M. Maita
A. Siatounis
G. Mignani
D. Okereke
Player Ratings ?
Cremonese
T. BertiM8.2
M. NastiF8.0
D. LordkipanidzeD7.0
Benevento
L. SernicolaD7.2
S. VerdiM6.9
P. SaioD6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Benevento
Benevento rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Benevento a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Benevento stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Benevento stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Benevento slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Benevento stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Benevento have secured two victories in their last five away outings, whereas Cremonese have managed just one win from their most recent five home matches. Cremonese have found the net in two of their last five home games while keeping a clean sheet just once in that same period. Benevento rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. The most recent meeting, on 1 March 2022, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 1.6 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Cremonese's implied win probability has fallen by 13.4 percentage points, while Benevento's implied win probability has risen by 9.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Benevento a slight edge.
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Cremonese
Cremonese's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Cremonese win as less likely than it did 4 days ago. Benevento remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Cremonese win
Latest market chance 35.0%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
48.4% → 35.0%
−13.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.8%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
25.7% → 29.8%
+4.1 pts
Benevento win
Latest market chance 35.2%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
25.8% → 35.2%
+9.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Cremonese
Draw
Benevento
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CremoneseBenevento
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
5th
9
Games Played
9
1.00
Points/Game
1.67
0.89
Goals/Game
1.56
1.22
Conceded/Game
0.89
11.8
Shots/Game
16.6
4.2
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Cremonese at home (5 matches) vs Benevento away (4 matches)
1.40
Points/Game
1.50
1.00
Goals/Game
1.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
0.75
40%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Cremonese
Home form
D
L
W
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Benevento
Away form
L
L
L
W
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Cremonese Wins
1
Draws
2
Benevento Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.6
Benevento1 – 1Cremonese
Cremonese1 – 1Benevento
Cremonese0 – 1Benevento
Benevento2 – 0Cremonese
Cremonese1 – 0Benevento
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Cremonesevs
Benevento
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.60
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.10
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
5/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.1%→Latest 48.7%−4.4 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.1%→Latest 54.7%−1.4 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Cremonese's 10 matches and 1 of Benevento's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?