Carrarese vs Sampdoria Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadio dei Marmi
Sun 08 Nov 2026 · 16:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.52
Draw
3.20
Away Win
3.07
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Carrarese
Sampdoria
19'
🟨 Gennaro Tutino
23'
⚽ Gennaro Tutino (Tjas Begic)
Tommaso Rubino 🟨
36'
41'
🟨 Lorenzo Mezzotero
52'
🟨 Tjas Begic
85'
🟨 Yann Karamoh
Match Statistics ?
72%
Ball Possession
28%
13
Total Shots
4
1
Shots on Goal
1
6
Corner Kicks
2
13
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Carrarese (3-1-4-2)
S. Pizzignacco
F. Ruggeri
F. Oliana
F. Reale
M. Braunöder
G. Parlanti
J. Martini
Nicolás Schiavi
J. Rouhi
T. Rubino
F. Abiuso
Sampdoria (4-3-3)
Andrey Krastev
K. Mbabu
F. Delli Carri
L. Ravanelli
S. Gartenmann
L. Henderson
O. Abildgaard
A. Makoumbou
L. Mezzotero
G. Tutino
T. Begić
Player Ratings ?
Carrarese
F. OlianaD7.5
M. BraunöderM7.2
F. RuggeriD7.0
Sampdoria
G. TutinoF7.5
L. RavanelliD7.5
F. ContiM6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Carrarese edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Carrarese stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Carrarese slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Carrarese stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Carrarese have enjoyed a solid run with three victories from their last five home outings, while Sampdoria look to stabilise after failing to win any of their previous five away fixtures. Carrarese have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have not kept a single clean sheet during that same period. Carrarese rate stronger on form and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence, while attack is closely matched. Carrarese won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 18 March 2026, having won 2 of the last 4 encounters to Sampdoria's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.5 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Carrarese losing run
1
Sampdoria points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Carrarese win
Latest market chance 38.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
38.3% → 38.5%
+0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.4% → 29.2%
−0.2 pts
Sampdoria win
Latest market chance 32.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
32.4% → 32.3%
−0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Carrarese
Draw
Sampdoria
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CarrareseSampdoria
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
19th
10
Games Played
10
1.00
Points/Game
0.80
0.90
Goals/Game
1.00
1.30
Conceded/Game
1.80
13.0
Shots/Game
13.7
3.4
Shots on Target
4.5
Home vs Away Context
Carrarese at home (7 matches) vs Sampdoria away (8 matches)
1.29
Points/Game
0.62
1.00
Goals/Game
0.75
1.14
Conceded/Game
2.12
43%
Win Rate
12%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Carrarese
Home form
L
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sampdoria
Away form
L
L
L
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Carrarese Wins
2
Draws
1
Sampdoria Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.5
Carrarese2 – 0Sampdoria
Sampdoria3 – 2Carrarese
Carrarese1 – 0Sampdoria
Sampdoria1 – 1Carrarese
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Carraresevs
Sampdoria
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded / game
2.10
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.6%→Latest 49.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.7%→Latest 55.3%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?