Carrarese vs Arezzo Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadio dei Marmi
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.23
Draw
3.18
Away Win
3.63
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Carrarese
Arezzo
Jonas Rouhi 🟨
12'
Fabio abiuso 🟨
43'
45'
🟨 Gennaro·Iaccarino
63'
🟨 Shaka Mawuli Eklu
77'
🟨 Pietro Cianci
Luka Topalovic (Jonas Rouhi) ⚽
83'
Gabriele parlanti (Luka Topalovic) ⚽
90'
Filippo Reale 🟨
90+3'
90+5'
⚽ (P) Emiliano Pattarello
G. Marconi 🟨
90+7'
Match Statistics ?
57%
Ball Possession
43%
19
Total Shots
4
3
Shots on Goal
2
4
Corner Kicks
1
22
Fouls
13
4
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Carrarese (3-5-2)
S. Pizzignacco
F. Ruggeri
F. Oliana
F. Reale
G. Parlanti
Nicolás Schiavi
M. Braunöder
J. Martini
J. Rouhi
F. Abiuso
T. Rubino
Arezzo (4-3-3)
A. Nunziante
M. Mena
M. Gilli
Gianmarco Ferrari
A. Cagnano
S. Mawuli
Gennaro Iaccarino
Mattia Sala
E. Pattarello
L. Mancuso
Giuseppe Kevin Leone
Player Ratings ?
Carrarese
L. TopalovićM8.3
G. ParlantiM7.9
J. RouhiM7.6
Arezzo
E. PattarelloF7.0
L. MancusoF6.6
M. MenaD6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Carrarese edge defence, Arezzo edge recent form and attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Arezzo stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Arezzo slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Carrarese stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Arezzo arrive at Carrarese with an impressive away record of four wins from their last five outings, while the hosts have struggled for consistency at home with just a single victory in their last five matches. Carrarese have found the net in only two of their last five home matches and have kept just one clean sheet during that period. Arezzo rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in attack, while Carrarese rate stronger on defence. The market has remained broadly steady over the 2-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Carrarese losing run
12
Arezzo points from last 5 matches
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Carrarese win
Latest market chance 41.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
41.9% → 41.9%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.6% → 28.7%
+0.1 pts
Arezzo win
Latest market chance 29.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.5% → 29.4%
−0.1 pts
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CarrareseArezzo
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
13th
8
Games Played
8
0.88
Points/Game
1.25
0.88
Goals/Game
1.00
1.12
Conceded/Game
2.12
13.0
Shots/Game
11.3
3.4
Shots on Target
2.8
Home vs Away Context
Carrarese at home (7 matches) vs Arezzo away (8 matches)
1.29
Points/Game
1.50
1.00
Goals/Game
1.12
1.14
Conceded/Game
1.62
43%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Carrarese
Home form
L
L
L
W
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Arezzo
Away form
L
W
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Carrarese Wins
1
Draws
0
Arezzo Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.0
Carrarese2 – 1Arezzo
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Carraresevs
Arezzo
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded / game
2.00
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 47.8%→Latest 47.6%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.6%→Latest 54.0%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?