Benevento vs Vicenza Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadio Ciro Vigorito
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.03
Draw
3.56
Away Win
3.75
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Benevento
Vicenza
Antonis Siatounis (Mattia Maita) ⚽
22'
Christian Kouan ⚽
27'
Mattia Maita 🟨
46'
61'
🟨 Nicolò Brighenti
68'
⚽ Tommaso Corazza (Nicola Rauti)
69'
🟨 Andrea Papetti
73'
🟨 Alessandro Bellemo
76'
🟨 Giulio Pellizzari
85'
🟨 L. Caferri
87'
⚽ L. Caferri (Mattia Valoti)
Gianmarco Vannucchi 🟨
89'
Match Statistics ?
55%
Ball Possession
45%
18
Total Shots
12
9
Shots on Goal
2
1
Corner Kicks
4
21
Fouls
18
2
Yellow Cards
5
0
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Benevento (4-1-3-2)
G. Vannucchi
E. Pierozzi
S. Scognamillo
P. Saio
P. Beruatto
M. Maita
D. Lamesta
A. Siatounis
C. Kouan
F. Salvemini
D. Okereke
Vicenza (3-5-2)
R. Gagno
A. Papetti
N. Brighenti
R. Marchizza
T. Corazza
G. Pellizzari
A. Bellemo
L. Zonta
F. Costa
G. Moncini
S. Merkaj
Player Ratings ?
Benevento
C. KouanM8.2
A. SiatounisM7.8
M. MaitaM7.2
Vicenza
L. CaferriD7.3
T. CorazzaM7.3
R. GagnoG7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Benevento
Benevento rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Benevento a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Benevento stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Benevento stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Benevento stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Benevento stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Vicenza have recorded two wins and a draw from their last five away outings, while Benevento boast three victories and a single draw in their corresponding home sample. Benevento have scored in all five of their recent home fixtures but have managed just one clean sheet during that same span. Benevento rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Benevento won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 10 April 2022, having won 2 of the last 4 encounters to Vicenza's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.5 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Benevento's implied win probability has risen by 0.1 percentage points, while Vicenza's implied win probability has fallen by 1.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Benevento a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Vicenza
Vicenza's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Vicenza win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Benevento remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Benevento win
Latest market chance 47.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
46.9% → 47.0%
+0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.5%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
25.6% → 26.5%
+0.9 pts
Vicenza win
Latest market chance 26.4%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
27.5% → 26.4%
−1.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Benevento
Draw
Vicenza
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BeneventoVicenza
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
17th
6
Games Played
6
1.67
Points/Game
0.83
1.33
Goals/Game
1.17
0.83
Conceded/Game
2.17
16.6
Shots/Game
12.3
4.6
Shots on Target
3.3
Home vs Away Context
Benevento at home (7 matches) vs Vicenza away (8 matches)
1.43
Points/Game
1.00
1.57
Goals/Game
1.38
1.14
Conceded/Game
1.88
29%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Benevento
Home form
W
L
D
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Vicenza
Away form
W
W
L
D
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Benevento Wins
2
Draws
2
Vicenza Wins
0
Avg Goals
1.5
Benevento1 – 0Vicenza
Vicenza2 – 3Benevento
Benevento0 – 0Vicenza
Vicenza0 – 0Benevento
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Beneventovs
Vicenza
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.60
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.1%→Latest 54.1%−2.0 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.6%→Latest 57.2%−1.4 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
4 of Benevento's 10 matches and 4 of Vicenza's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?