Benevento vs Catanzaro Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadio Ciro Vigorito
Tue 27 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.74
Draw
4.17
Away Win
4.39
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Benevento
Catanzaro
Christian Kouan 🟨
22'
46'
🟨 Matias Antonini Lui
50'
🟨 Antonio Candela
Francesco Salvemini ⚽ (P)
51'
Stefano Scognamillo 🟨
63'
85'
🟨 Marco Imperiale
90+2'
⚽ Nicolo Buso
Mattia Maita 🟨
90+3'
Match Statistics ?
52%
Ball Possession
48%
18
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Goal
2
5
Corner Kicks
5
16
Fouls
10
3
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Benevento (4-3-3)
G. Vannucchi
L. Sernicola
S. Scognamillo
C. Dalle Mura
P. Beruatto
A. Siatounis
M. Maita
C. Kouan
D. Lamesta
F. Salvemini
L. Cherubini
Catanzaro (3-5-2)
M. Pigliacelli
M. Ruggero
Matias Antonini
M. Imperiale
A. Candela
F. Tchaouna
J. Petriccione
G. Alesi
M. Dorval
N. Koffi
P. Iemmello
Player Ratings ?
Benevento
C. Dalle MuraD7.3
L. SernicolaD7.2
M. MaitaM7.2
Catanzaro
N. BusoF8.2
M. RuggeroD7.0
M. DorvalM6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Benevento
Benevento rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form, attack and defence, giving Benevento a strong edge.
Leads 3 of 3 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Benevento stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Benevento stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Benevento stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Benevento have secured two wins and two draws from their last five home outings, while Catanzaro remain winless with two draws and three defeats in the same number of away fixtures. Benevento have scored in five consecutive home matches but have only kept one clean sheet during that identical five-match sample. Benevento rate stronger on form, attack and defence. Over the 2-day comparison window, Benevento's implied win probability has fallen by 1.1 percentage points, while Catanzaro's implied win probability has risen by 0.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Benevento a strong edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Catanzaro losing run
56%
Catanzaro yellow cards after 75'
2
Catanzaro points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Benevento
Benevento's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Benevento win as less likely than it did 2 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Benevento win
Latest market chance 54.5%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
55.6% → 54.5%
−1.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.8% → 23.5%
+0.7 pts
Catanzaro win
Latest market chance 21.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.6% → 21.9%
+0.3 pts
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BeneventoCatanzaro
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
20th
8
Games Played
8
1.75
Points/Game
0.50
1.62
Goals/Game
1.12
0.88
Conceded/Game
2.50
16.6
Shots/Game
13.9
4.6
Shots on Target
4.1
Home vs Away Context
Benevento at home (7 matches) vs Catanzaro away (8 matches)
1.43
Points/Game
0.38
1.57
Goals/Game
1.12
1.14
Conceded/Game
1.88
29%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Benevento
Home form
L
D
W
W
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Catanzaro
Away form
L
L
L
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Benevento and Catanzaro.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Beneventovs
Catanzaro
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded / game
2.50
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
1/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.9%→Latest 57.3%−0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.2%→Latest 57.6%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
2 of Benevento's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?