Benevento vs Avellino Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadio Ciro Vigorito
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 18:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.04
Draw
3.47
Away Win
3.85
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Benevento
Avellino
Francesco Salvemini 🟨
42'
59'
🟨 Martin Palumbo
Antonis Siatounis ⚽
60'
67'
⚽ Walid Cheddira
Stefano Scognamillo 🟨
75'
81'
🟨 L. Di Maggio
Pietro Beruatto 🟨
90+3'
Match Statistics ?
55%
Ball Possession
45%
26
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Goal
5
9
Corner Kicks
3
14
Fouls
10
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
5
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Benevento (4-1-4-1)
G. Vannucchi
L. Sernicola
S. Scognamillo
P. Saio
P. Beruatto
M. Maita
L. Cherubini
A. Siatounis
C. Kouan
D. Okereke
F. Salvemini
Avellino (3-5-2)
T. Martinelli
A. Izzo
M. Venturi
P. Enrici
F. Missori
L. Di Maggio
M. Palumbo
M. Besaggio
B. Moruzzi
W. Cheddira
R. Russo
Player Ratings ?
Benevento
A. SiatounisM8.1
P. BeruattoD7.5
L. CherubiniM7.1
Avellino
W. CheddiraF8.0
M. VenturiD7.2
A. IzzoD7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Benevento edge attack, defence and head-to-head, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Benevento slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Benevento stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Benevento stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Benevento have secured two victories from their last five home outings, while Avellino have managed just one win in their corresponding away fixtures during the same span. The hosts have found the net in every single one of their last five matches at this venue, though they have kept a clean sheet in only one of those recent contests. Benevento rate stronger on defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack, while form is closely matched. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2017. Over the 5-day comparison window, Benevento's implied win probability has fallen by 4.8 percentage points, while Avellino's implied win probability has risen by 3.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Benevento
Benevento's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Benevento win as less likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Benevento win
Latest market chance 47.0%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
51.8% → 47.0%
−4.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.6%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
25.8% → 27.6%
+1.8 pts
Avellino win
Latest market chance 25.5%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
22.4% → 25.5%
+3.1 pts
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BeneventoAvellino
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
6th
10
Games Played
10
1.50
Points/Game
1.50
1.40
Goals/Game
1.50
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
16.6
Shots/Game
14.0
4.6
Shots on Target
4.5
Home vs Away Context
Benevento at home (7 matches) vs Avellino away (6 matches)
1.43
Points/Game
1.17
1.57
Goals/Game
1.00
1.14
Conceded/Game
1.17
29%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Benevento
Home form
D
W
W
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Avellino
Away form
W
L
D
D
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Benevento Wins
1
Draws
1
Avellino Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.5
Benevento2 – 1Avellino
Avellino1 – 1Benevento
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Beneventovs
Avellino
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.70
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.00
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.1%→Latest 50.1%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.0%→Latest 54.3%+1.3 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?