Avellino vs Pisa Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Partenio-Adriano Lombardi
Sun 01 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.17
Draw
3.23
Away Win
2.47
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Avellino
Pisa
L. Di Maggio ⚽
26'
Raffaele Russo (Martin Palumbo) ⚽
59'
83'
🟨 Samuele Angori
Match Statistics ?
34%
Ball Possession
66%
18
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Goal
3
8
Corner Kicks
4
9
Fouls
9
0
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Avellino (3-5-2)
T. Martinelli
A. Izzo
M. Venturi
P. Enrici
F. Missori
L. Di Maggio
M. Palumbo
M. Besaggio
B. Moruzzi
W. Cheddira
R. Russo
Pisa (3-4-2-1)
A. Confente
A. Calabresi
A. Primasso
S. Angori
S. Zanon
G. Leone
O. Correia
M. Léris
S. Moreo
E. Rao
F. Pittarello
Player Ratings ?
Avellino
L. Di MaggioM8.2
R. RussoF8.2
M. PalumboM7.7
Pisa
M. TramoniF7.0
S. AngoriD6.9
E. RaoM6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Avellino edge defence and head-to-head, Pisa edge recent form and attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Pisa stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Pisa stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Avellino slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Avellino stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Pisa have enjoyed a solid away run with two wins and three draws from their last five outings, while Avellino look more settled at home having secured three victories alongside a single draw in the same span. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have managed just one clean sheet during that identical period. Pisa rate stronger on form and attack, while Avellino rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2017. Over the 5-day comparison window, Avellino's implied win probability has risen by 0.8 percentage points, while Pisa's implied win probability has fallen by 1.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Pisa
Pisa's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Pisa win as less likely than it did 5 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Avellino win
Latest market chance 31.1%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
30.3% → 31.1%
+0.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.3% → 28.7%
+0.4 pts
Pisa win
Latest market chance 40.2%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
41.4% → 40.2%
−1.2 pts
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AvellinoPisa
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
5th
9
Games Played
9
1.33
Points/Game
1.67
1.44
Goals/Game
2.00
1.11
Conceded/Game
1.44
14.0
Shots/Game
16.1
4.5
Shots on Target
6.0
Home vs Away Context
Avellino at home (8 matches) vs Pisa away (7 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.29
2.12
Goals/Game
1.43
0.75
Conceded/Game
1.14
62%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Avellino
Home form
D
W
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Pisa
Away form
D
W
D
D
L
1W 3D 1L in last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Avellino Wins
4
Draws
1
Pisa Wins
0
Avg Goals
1.6
Avellino2 – 0Pisa
Pisa0 – 1Avellino
Avellino1 – 0Pisa
Avellino2 – 0Pisa
Pisa1 – 1Avellino
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Avellinovs
Pisa
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
2.00
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.70
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 45.9%→Latest 48.1%+2.2 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.4%→Latest 53.2%+1.8 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?