Ascoli vs Sampdoria Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Cino e Lillo Del Duca
Tue 27 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.18
Draw
3.29
Away Win
3.62
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Ascoli
Sampdoria
53'
🟨 Filippo Delli Carri
Andrea·Silipo (Matteo Brunori) ⚽
55'
Oliver Abildgaard ⚽ (OG)
82'
Abdoul Guiebre 🟨
89'
89'
🟨 Tjas Begic
Match Statistics ?
67%
Ball Possession
33%
12
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Goal
6
9
Corner Kicks
4
9
Fouls
16
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
0
6
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Ascoli (3-5-2)
S. Vitale
L. Venuti
M. Curado
M. Nicoletti
A. Silipo
G. Corradini
S. Damiani
G. Acampora
A. Guiébré
Matteo Brunori
S. D'Uffizi
Sampdoria (4-3-2-1)
Andrey Krastev
A. Di Pardo
A. Ferrari
F. Delli Carri
M. Cicconi
A. Makoumbou
O. Abildgaard
L. Henderson
T. Begić
Y. Verschaeren
T. Lauritsen
Player Ratings ?
Ascoli
S. VitaleG8.4
A. SilipoM8.2
M. CuradoD7.8
Sampdoria
Y. VerschaerenM7.0
M. CicconiD6.7
G. TutinoF6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Ascoli edge recent form, attack and defence, Sampdoria edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Ascoli stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Ascoli stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Ascoli stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Sampdoria stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Sampdoria arrive at this Serie B fixture with a poor away run, having recorded just one draw and four defeats in their last five outings, while Ascoli boast an impressive unbeaten streak of three wins and two draws at home over the same span. At home, Ascoli have found the net in all five of their recent matches but have managed only a single clean sheet during that identical period. Ascoli rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while Sampdoria rate stronger on head-to-head. Sampdoria won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 11 March 2024, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Ascoli's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 2-day comparison window, Ascoli's implied win probability has risen by 1.8 percentage points, while Sampdoria's implied win probability has fallen by 1.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Sampdoria losing run
1
Sampdoria points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Ascoli
Ascoli's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Ascoli win as more likely than it did 2 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Ascoli win
Latest market chance 43.8%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
42.0% → 43.8%
+1.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.0% → 28.7%
−0.3 pts
Sampdoria win
Latest market chance 27.5%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
29.0% → 27.5%
−1.5 pts
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AscoliSampdoria
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
19th
8
Games Played
8
1.88
Points/Game
0.63
1.75
Goals/Game
1.00
0.75
Conceded/Game
2.00
13.4
Shots/Game
13.7
4.4
Shots on Target
4.5
Home vs Away Context
Ascoli at home (6 matches) vs Sampdoria away (8 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
0.62
1.50
Goals/Game
0.75
0.67
Conceded/Game
2.12
50%
Win Rate
12%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Ascoli
Home form
W
D
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sampdoria
Away form
L
L
L
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Ascoli Wins
0
Draws
2
Sampdoria Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.0
Sampdoria2 – 1Ascoli
Ascoli1 – 1Sampdoria
Sampdoria0 – 0Ascoli
Ascoli1 – 2Sampdoria
Sampdoria2 – 0Ascoli
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Ascolivs
Sampdoria
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded / game
2.20
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.2%→Latest 50.4%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.0%→Latest 55.6%+0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
2 of Ascoli's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?