Arezzo vs Benevento Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadio Città di Arezzo
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 18:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.05
Draw
3.19
Away Win
2.45
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 3
Match Events ?
Arezzo
Benevento
49'
⚽ Antonis Siatounis (David Okereke)
60'
🟨 Pietro Beruatto
66'
⚽ David Okereke
87'
⚽ G. Mignani (David Okereke)
89'
🟨 Stefano Scognamillo
Match Statistics ?
47%
Ball Possession
53%
6
Total Shots
18
3
Shots on Goal
6
3
Corner Kicks
7
6
Fouls
15
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Arezzo (4-1-4-1)
A. Nunziante
A. Renzi
M. Gilli
M. Coppolaro
S. Righetti
L. Chierico
A. Arena
Mattia Sala
A. Ioniţă
C. Tavernelli
A. Cerri
Benevento (4-1-3-2)
G. Vannucchi
E. Pierozzi
S. Scognamillo
C. Dalle Mura
P. Beruatto
M. Maita
A. Siatounis
C. Kouan
L. Cherubini
D. Okereke
F. Salvemini
Player Ratings ?
Arezzo
M. GilliD6.9
L. ChiericoM6.6
E. PattarelloF6.5
Benevento
D. OkerekeM9.8
A. SiatounisM8.2
G. MignaniF7.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Arezzo edge recent form, Benevento edge attack, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Arezzo slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Benevento slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Benevento have secured just one win and a draw from their last five away fixtures, while Arezzo remain winless at home with two draws and three defeats in their recent outings. Arezzo have found the net in three of their last five matches at home but have only kept two clean sheets during that same period. Arezzo hold a slight advantage in form, while Benevento hold a slight advantage in attack, while defence is closely matched. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
50%
Benevento yellow cards after 75'
2
Arezzo points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Arezzo win
Latest market chance 32.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
32.6% → 32.5%
−0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.6% → 29.6%
±0.0 pts
Benevento win
Latest market chance 37.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
37.8% → 37.9%
+0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Arezzo
Draw
Benevento
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ArezzoBenevento
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
8th
7
Games Played
7
1.43
Points/Game
1.57
1.14
Goals/Game
1.43
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
11.3
Shots/Game
16.6
2.8
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Arezzo at home (6 matches) vs Benevento away (4 matches)
0.50
Points/Game
1.50
0.50
Goals/Game
1.00
1.67
Conceded/Game
0.75
0%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Arezzo
Home form
L
D
L
L
D
Winless in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Benevento
Away form
D
L
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Arezzo and Benevento.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Arezzovs
Benevento
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.40
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 46.2%→Latest 46.1%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.2%→Latest 53.2%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
2 of Arezzo's 10 matches and 3 of Benevento's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?