Arezzo vs Ascoli Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadio Città di Arezzo
Sun 01 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.68
Draw
3.46
Away Win
2.13
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Arezzo
Ascoli
12'
🟨 Federico Gattoni
59'
🟨 amine chakir
68'
🟨 Abdoul Guiebre
Julian Illanes 🟨
75'
Match Statistics ?
27%
Ball Possession
73%
5
Total Shots
6
2
Shots on Goal
2
3
Corner Kicks
3
22
Fouls
14
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Arezzo (4-1-4-1)
A. Nunziante
A. Renzi
J. Illanes
M. Coppolaro
S. Righetti
Gennaro Iaccarino
A. Arena
S. Mawuli
A. Ioniţă
C. Tavernelli
A. Cerri
Ascoli (4-2-3-1)
S. Vitale
F. Gattoni
M. Curado
N. Rizzo
A. Guiébré
M. Ricci
G. Corradini
A. Silipo
G. Acampora
S. D'Uffizi
A. Chakir
Player Ratings ?
Arezzo
C. TavernelliM7.0
P. CianciF6.9
M. CoppolaroD6.8
Ascoli
N. RizzoD7.7
M. RicciM7.2
A. SilipoM7.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Ascoli
Ascoli rate stronger in recent form, attack and defence; head-to-head is closely matched, giving Ascoli a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Ascoli stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Ascoli stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Ascoli stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Ascoli have secured two wins and drawn twice in their last five away fixtures across seasons, while Arezzo remain winless at home with just two draws from three defeats in that same span. Arezzo have found the net in only two of their last five home matches and have kept a clean sheet twice during that period. Ascoli rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while head-to-head is closely matched. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2005. Over the 5-day comparison window, Arezzo's implied win probability has fallen by 6.9 percentage points, while Ascoli's implied win probability has risen by 7.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Ascoli a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Ascoli
Ascoli's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Ascoli win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Arezzo win
Latest market chance 27.5%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
34.4% → 27.5%
−6.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.6%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
28.5% → 27.6%
−0.9 pts
Ascoli win
Latest market chance 44.9%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
37.1% → 44.9%
+7.8 pts
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ArezzoAscoli
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
3rd
9
Games Played
9
1.11
Points/Game
2.00
1.00
Goals/Game
1.78
2.11
Conceded/Game
0.67
11.3
Shots/Game
13.4
2.8
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
Arezzo at home (6 matches) vs Ascoli away (6 matches)
0.50
Points/Game
1.50
0.50
Goals/Game
1.33
1.67
Conceded/Game
0.50
0%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Arezzo
Home form
L
L
D
L
D
Winless in last 5 at home
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Ascoli
Away form
W
L
D
W
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Arezzo Wins
0
Draws
3
Ascoli Wins
0
Avg Goals
1.3
Arezzo0 – 0Ascoli
Ascoli2 – 2Arezzo
Arezzo0 – 0Ascoli
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Arezzovs
Ascoli
Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
1.60
1.80
Goals conceded / game
0.60
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
4/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 45.0%→Latest 51.6%+6.6 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.1%→Latest 55.8%+4.7 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?