Venezia vs Napoli Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
4.84
Draw
4.12
Away Win
1.70
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Venezia
Napoli
Akor Adams (Simon Sohm) ⚽
49'
Toma Bašić 🟨
61'
68'
• Kevin De Bruyne
Enrique Pérez Muñoz 🟨
80'
Match Statistics ?
29%
Ball Possession
71%
9
Total Shots
29
4
Shots on Goal
10
0
Corner Kicks
12
7
Fouls
6
2
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
5
9
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Venezia (3-5-2)
F. Stanković
R. Halhal
M. Moreno
Juan Jesus
A. Hainaut
Kike Pérez
S. Sohm
T. Bašić
R. Haps
J. Yeboah
A. Adams
Napoli (3-4-2-1)
A. Meret
S. Beukema
Amir Rrahmani
B. Badiashile
G. Di Lorenzo
B. Gilmour
S. Lobotka
L. Spinazzola
Giovane
S. McTominay
L. Lucca
Player Ratings ?
Venezia
F. StankovićG8.9
A. AdamsF8.2
S. SohmM7.1
Napoli
B. BadiashileD7.6
Alisson SantosF7.2
K. De BruyneM7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Napoli
Napoli rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Napoli a strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Napoli stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Napoli stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Napoli stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Napoli stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Napoli have recorded two wins and two draws from their last five away outings, whereas Venezia have suffered four defeats in their last five home fixtures. Venezia have found the net in three of their last five matches at home but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same span. Both sides face significant selection issues, with Venezia having six players out and three in doubt, while Napoli also list six unavailable and three doubtful options. Napoli rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 16 March 2025, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 1.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 13-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Napoli a strong edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
6
Venezia losing run
3
Venezia points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 13 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Venezia win
Latest market chance 20.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
20.8% → 20.1%
−0.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.3% → 23.4%
+0.1 pts
Napoli win
Latest market chance 56.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
55.8% → 56.5%
+0.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Venezia
Draw
Napoli
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
VeneziaNapoli
Season Profile
This season
20th
League Position
9th
6
Games Played
6
0.00
Points/Game
1.67
0.83
Goals/Game
1.67
2.67
Conceded/Game
1.00
13.7
Shots/Game
15.5
4.0
Shots on Target
5.6
Home vs Away Context
Venezia at home (7 matches) vs Napoli away (7 matches)
1.29
Points/Game
1.00
0.86
Goals/Game
1.29
1.57
Conceded/Game
1.29
43%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Venezia
Home form
W
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Napoli
Away form
D
W
W
L
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Venezia Wins
0
Draws
2
Napoli Wins
3
Avg Goals
1.4
Venezia0 – 0Napoli
Napoli1 – 0Venezia
Venezia0 – 2Napoli
Napoli2 – 0Venezia
Napoli1 – 1Venezia
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Veneziavs
Napoli
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.90
2.60
Goals conceded / game
0.90
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
4/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.3%→Latest 55.3%−1.0 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.4%→Latest 55.0%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Venezia's 10 matches and 3 of Napoli's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?