Venezia vs Inter Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
7.64
Draw
5.70
Away Win
1.37
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
Venezia
Inter
28'
🟨 Alessandro Bastoni
56'
🟨 Nicolò Barella
79'
⚽ (OG) Matias Moreno
82'
⚽ (OG) Redouane Halhal
Match Statistics ?
34%
Ball Possession
66%
12
Total Shots
16
4
Shots on Goal
2
3
Corner Kicks
6
5
Fouls
9
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
5
Offsides
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Venezia (3-5-2)
F. Stanković
R. Halhal
M. Moreno
Juan Jesus
A. Hainaut
Kike Pérez
S. Sohm
Þ. Helgason
P. Mazzocchi
A. Adams
L. Lauberbach
Inter (3-5-2)
I. Provedel
Y. Bisseck
A. Bastoni
Carlos Augusto
A. Diouf
P. Sučić
A. Stanković
P. Zieliński
F. Dimarco
M. Thuram
A. Bonny
Player Ratings ?
Venezia
Juan JesusD6.8
Kike PérezM6.6
A. AdamsF6.5
Inter
Carlos AugustoD7.9
I. ProvedelG7.8
P. SučićM7.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Inter
Inter rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Inter a very strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Inter stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Inter stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Inter stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Inter stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Inter have enjoyed an impressive unbeaten run in their last five away fixtures with three victories and two draws, while Venezia have lost three of their last five home matches. Venezia have found the net in three of their last five home outings but have also conceded in three of those same five games, managing just two clean sheets during that span. Both squads carry significant absenteeism concerns ahead of kickoff, with Venezia facing seven unavailable players and Inter dealing with six missing from their respective line-ups for this Serie A fixture. Inter rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Inter won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 12 January 2025, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Venezia's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. Over the 8-day comparison window, Venezia's implied win probability has fallen by 0.5 percentage points, while Inter's implied win probability has risen by 0.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison points very strongly towards Inter.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
6
Venezia losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards the draw
the draw's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a draw as more likely than it did 8 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Inter remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Venezia win
Latest market chance 12.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
12.4% → 12.3%
−0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 17.7%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
16.9% → 17.7%
+0.8 pts
Inter win
Latest market chance 70.0%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
70.8% → 70.0%
−0.8 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
9 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Oct 20Oct 22Oct 24Oct 26Oct 28
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Venezia
Draw
Inter
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 8 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Venezia
Inter
Season Profile
This season
20th
League Position
2nd
8
Games Played
8
0.38
Points/Game
2.75
0.75
Goals/Game
2.88
2.12
Conceded/Game
1.25
13.7
Shots/Game
21.3
4.0
Shots on Target
6.9
Home vs Away Context
Venezia at home (7 matches) vs Inter away (6 matches)
1.29
Points/Game
2.17
0.86
Goals/Game
2.00
1.57
Conceded/Game
1.17
43%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Venezia
Home form
L
L
L
W
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
0.8
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Inter
Away form
D
W
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Venezia Wins
0
Draws
1
Inter Wins
4
Avg Goals
1.8
2025-01-122024-2025
Venezia0 – 1Inter
2024-11-032024-2025
Inter1 – 0Venezia
2022-01-222021-2022
Inter2 – 1Venezia
2021-11-272021-2022
Venezia0 – 2Inter
2002-01-272001-2002
Venezia1 – 1Inter
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Venezia
vs
Inter
Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
2.90
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.10
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
4/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
86.3%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
70.1%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
50.2%
BTTSBoth teams score
60.1%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 71.7%→Latest 70.1%−1.6 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Oct 20Oct 22Oct 24Oct 26Oct 28
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 8 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.8%→Latest 59.9%−0.9 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Oct 20Oct 22Oct 24Oct 26Oct 28
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 8 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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