Udinese vs Roma Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Bluenergy Stadium
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
5.58
Draw
4.55
Away Win
1.57
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 5
Match Events ?
Udinese
Roma
10'
⚽ Bryan Cristante (Wesley Vinícius França Lima)
Lennon Miller 🟨
23'
31'
⚽ Rodrigo Mora (Bryan Cristante)
33'
⚽ Donyell Malen (Matias Soule)
37'
⚽ Evan Ndicka (Matias Soule)
Nicolo Zaniolo ⚽
50'
60'
🟨 Bryan Cristante
Matteo Palma (Hassane Kamara) ⚽
78'
90+2'
⚽ Daniele Ghilardi (Santiago Thomas Castro)
Match Statistics ?
46%
Ball Possession
54%
15
Total Shots
14
7
Shots on Goal
9
7
Corner Kicks
4
11
Fouls
9
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Udinese (3-4-2-1)
M. Okoye
J. Abankwah
C. Kabasele
M. Palma
M. Vojvoda
J. Karlström
L. Miller
H. Kamara
N. Zaniolo
J. Ekkelenkamp
K. Davis
Roma (3-4-2-1)
P. Gollini
D. Ghilardi
E. Ndicka
Hermoso
N. Molina
M. de Roon
B. Cristante
Wesley
M. Soulé
Rodrigo Mora
D. Malen
Player Ratings ?
Udinese
N. ZanioloM7.5
M. PalmaD7.0
H. KamaraM6.5
Roma
B. CristanteM8.1
M. SouléM7.8
D. MalenF7.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Roma
Roma rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Roma a strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Roma stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Roma stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Roma stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Roma stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Roma have enjoyed a solid away run with three wins and two draws from their last five outings, while Udinese have struggled at home with just one draw and four losses in the same period. Udinese have found the net in two of their last five home matches but have kept no clean sheets during that span. There are availability concerns for both sides, with Udinese having three players out and two doubtful, while Roma have four confirmed absences. Roma rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Udinese won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 2 February 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Roma's 4, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Udinese's implied win probability has fallen by 1.5 percentage points, while Roma's implied win probability has risen by 3.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Roma a strong edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
6
Udinese losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
1
Udinese points from last 5 matches
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Roma
Roma's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Roma win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Udinese win
Latest market chance 17.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
18.9% → 17.4%
−1.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.6%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
23.0% → 21.6%
−1.4 pts
Roma win
Latest market chance 61.0%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
58.0% → 61.0%
+3.0 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
6 snapshots
+4+20−2Oct 26Oct 27Oct 28Oct 30Oct 31
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Udinese
Draw
Roma
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Udinese
Roma
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
3rd
9
Games Played
9
0.56
Points/Game
2.33
1.00
Goals/Game
2.56
2.00
Conceded/Game
0.89
14.5
Shots/Game
19.4
4.5
Shots on Target
6.5
Home vs Away Context
Udinese at home (6 matches) vs Roma away (5 matches)
0.17
Points/Game
2.20
0.67
Goals/Game
2.80
2.33
Conceded/Game
1.00
0%
Win Rate
60%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Udinese
Home form
D
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight at home
0.4
Goals scored
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Roma
Away form
W
W
W
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Udinese Wins
1
Draws
0
Roma Wins
4
Avg Goals
2.4
2026-02-022025-2026
Udinese1 – 0Roma
2025-11-092025-2026
Roma2 – 0Udinese
2025-01-262024-2025
Udinese1 – 2Roma
2024-09-222024-2025
Roma3 – 0Udinese
2024-04-252023-2024
Udinese1 – 2Roma
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Udinese
vs
Roma
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
2.50
2.00
Goals conceded / game
0.80
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
4/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
80.6%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
60.7%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
38.9%
BTTSBoth teams score
57.1%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.7%→Latest 60.7%+4.0 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Oct 26Oct 27Oct 28Oct 30Oct 31
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.3%→Latest 57.1%+1.8 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Oct 26Oct 27Oct 28Oct 30Oct 31
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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