Udinese vs Milan Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Bluenergy Stadium
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
4.55
Draw
3.69
Away Win
1.85
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
Udinese
Milan
6'
⚽ Christian Pulisic (Luka Modrić)
39'
🟨 Gonçalo Ramos
Jesper Karlstrom 🟨
43'
65'
⚽ Omari Hutchinson
90'
🟨 Luka Modrić
Match Statistics ?
40%
Ball Possession
60%
12
Total Shots
19
5
Shots on Goal
7
5
Corner Kicks
4
11
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Udinese (3-4-2-1)
M. Okoye
J. Abankwah
C. Kabasele
M. Palma
M. Vojvoda
J. Piotrowski
J. Karlström
H. Kamara
G. Chakvetadze
J. Ekkelenkamp
K. Davis
Milan (4-4-1-1)
M. Maignan
F. Tomori
K. De Winter
S. Pavlović
S. Bocoum
O. Hutchinson
L. Modrić
A. Jashari
D. Bartesaghi
C. Pulišić
Gonçalo Ramos
Player Ratings ?
Udinese
M. PalmaD6.8
M. OkoyeG6.7
M. VojvodaM6.7
Milan
C. PulišićM8.2
O. HutchinsonM8.2
S. PavlovićD7.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Milan
Milan rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Milan an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Milan stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Milan stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Milan stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Milan stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Milan have enjoyed a solid away run with two wins and three draws from their last five outings across seasons, while Udinese have struggled at home with just a single draw and four losses in the same span. At the club's home venue, Udinese have scored in only two of their last five matches and have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical period. Udinese face questions over four players with one listed as doubtful, whereas Milan have six confirmed absences but no doubts attached to their squad. Milan rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Udinese won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 11 April 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Milan's 4, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 11-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison favours Milan.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
46%
Milan yellow cards after 75'
1
Udinese points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 11 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Udinese win
Latest market chance 21.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.4% → 21.3%
−0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.8% → 26.1%
+0.3 pts
Milan win
Latest market chance 52.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
52.8% → 52.6%
−0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Udinese
Draw
Milan
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 11 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
UdineseMilan
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
5th
7
Games Played
7
0.57
Points/Game
2.14
1.29
Goals/Game
2.00
2.29
Conceded/Game
1.00
14.5
Shots/Game
11.5
4.5
Shots on Target
4.5
Home vs Away Context
Udinese at home (6 matches) vs Milan away (6 matches)
0.17
Points/Game
2.00
0.67
Goals/Game
1.67
2.33
Conceded/Game
1.00
0%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Udinese
Home form
L
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight at home
1 of these match from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Milan
Away form
W
W
D
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Udinese Wins
1
Draws
0
Milan Wins
4
Avg Goals
3.2
Milan0 – 3Udinese
Udinese0 – 3Milan
Udinese0 – 4Milan
Milan1 – 0Udinese
Udinese2 – 3Milan
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Udinesevs
Milan
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.90
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.30
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
4/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 50.0%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.0%→Latest 52.0%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
2 of Udinese's 10 matches and 3 of Milan's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?