Udinese vs Fiorentina Head to Head | Serie A

Match Prediction

Data favours

Fiorentina

Fiorentina rate stronger in recent form, attack and defence; head-to-head is closely matched, giving Fiorentina a slight edge.

Leads 3 of 4 major categories

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

Fiorentina stronger

HomeAway

Attack

Fiorentina stronger

HomeAway

Defence

Fiorentina slightly stronger

HomeAway

Head-to-Head

Closely matched

HomeAway

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Udinese win

27.5%

Draw

25.7%

Fiorentina win

46.8%

Based on 3 bookmaker(s) · not enough history yet to show movement

Team Comparison

Udinese

Fiorentina

Season Profile

This season

20th

League Position

15th

Games Played

0.45

Points/Game

0.82

1.09

Goals/Game

1.55

2.27

Conceded/Game

2.27

14.5

Shots/Game

16.9

4.5

Shots on Target

5.1

Home vs Away Context

Udinese at home (6 matches) vs Fiorentina away (6 matches)

0.17

Points/Game

1.00

0.67

Goals/Game

1.83

2.33

Conceded/Game

2.33

Win Rate

33%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Udinese

Home form

L
L
L
L
L

Lost 5 straight at home

0.6

Goals scored
per match

2.6

Goals conceded
per match

2/5

Scored in
last 5

0/5

Clean
sheets

Fiorentina

Away form

Lost 3 of last 5 away

2.2

Goals scored
per match

2.0

Goals conceded
per match

5/5

Scored in
last 5

0/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

Udinese Wins

Draws

Fiorentina Wins

Avg Goals

4.2

2026-03-022025-2026

Udinese3 – 0Fiorentina

2025-12-212025-2026

Fiorentina5 – 1Udinese

2025-05-252024-2025

Udinese2 – 3Fiorentina

2024-12-232024-2025

Fiorentina1 – 2Udinese

2024-01-142023-2024

Fiorentina2 – 2Udinese

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Udinese

Fiorentina

Recent Scoring Profile

0.90

Goals scored / game

1.80

2.40

Goals conceded / game

2.00

7/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

9/10

6/10

Both Teams Scored

10/10

4/10

Failed to Score

0/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

77.3%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

54.7%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

33.6%

BTTSBoth teams score

57.8%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 3 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 54.7%→Latest 54.7%±0.0 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

3 common bookmakers · first comparable 20 days before kickoff

The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 57.8%→Latest 57.8%±0.0 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

3 common bookmakers · first comparable 20 days before kickoff

Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Udinese vs Fiorentina Head to Head, Prediction