Torino vs Lecce Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.83
Draw
3.73
Away Win
4.58
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Torino
Lecce
45+2'
🟨 Youssef Maleh
Kialonda Gaspar ⚽ (OG)
60'
73'
⚽ (OG) Daniel Bragança
84'
🟨 Amar Fatah
Match Statistics ?
64%
Ball Possession
36%
9
Total Shots
6
2
Shots on Goal
1
4
Corner Kicks
5
11
Fouls
16
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Torino (3-4-1-2)
Lucas Perri
Saúl Coco
A. Ismajli
P. Comuzzo
R. Belghali
K. Fitz-Jim
Daniel Bragança
A. Cacciamani
N. Vlašić
S. Kulenović
G. Simeone
Lecce (3-5-2)
W. Falcone
Danilo Veiga
Kialonda Gaspar
Tiago Gabriel
A. Dembélé
M. Kaba
O. Ngom
Y. Maleh
A. Gallo
N. Štulić
A. Ahmed Fatah
Player Ratings ?
Torino
Saúl CocoD7.0
P. ComuzzoD7.0
A. IsmajliD6.9
Lecce
Tiago GabrielD6.9
K. N’DriF6.8
J. SiebertD6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Torino edge recent form and defence, Lecce edge head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Torino stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Torino slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Lecce slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Torino have secured three victories from their last five home outings, whereas Lecce have recorded just two wins in their corresponding away fixtures over the same period. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical sequence. Torino will field two confirmed absences for this fixture. Torino rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in defence, while Lecce hold a slight advantage in head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. Torino won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 1 February 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Lecce's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Torino win
Latest market chance 52.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
52.1% → 52.5%
+0.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.1% → 26.0%
−0.1 pts
Lecce win
Latest market chance 21.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.8% → 21.5%
−0.3 pts
10 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
TorinoLecce

Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
14th
10
Games Played
10
1.30
Points/Game
0.90
1.40
Goals/Game
1.10
1.60
Conceded/Game
2.10
10.6
Shots/Game
12.1
3.5
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Torino at home (7 matches) vs Lecce away (6 matches)
1.43
Points/Game
1.17
1.43
Goals/Game
1.17
1.71
Conceded/Game
1.67
43%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Torino
Home form
L
W
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Lecce
Away form
W
L
L
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Torino Wins
2
Draws
1
Lecce Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.4
Torino1 – 0Lecce
Lecce2 – 1Torino
Lecce1 – 0Torino
Torino0 – 0Lecce
Torino2 – 0Lecce
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Torinovs
Lecce

Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded / game
2.10
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
2/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.0%→Latest 50.2%+1.2 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.1%→Latest 52.0%+0.9 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?