Sassuolo vs Genoa Head to Head, Prediction
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.41
Draw
3.43
Away Win
2.93
Match Prediction
Data favours
Genoa
Genoa rate stronger in recent form, defence and head-to-head; Sassuolo edge attack, giving Genoa a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Genoa stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Sassuolo stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Genoa stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Genoa stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sassuolo win
Latest market chance 39.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
39.4% → 39.3%
−0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.8% → 28.0%
+0.2 pts
Genoa win
Latest market chance 32.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
32.8% → 32.7%
−0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Sassuolo
Draw
Genoa
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SassuoloGenoa
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
13th
11
Games Played
11
0.73
Points/Game
1.18
1.45
Goals/Game
1.00
2.64
Conceded/Game
1.45
12.6
Shots/Game
11.7
4.5
Shots on Target
3.1
Home vs Away Context
Sassuolo at home (5 matches) vs Genoa away (5 matches)
1.40
Points/Game
0.60
2.00
Goals/Game
0.60
2.80
Conceded/Game
1.60
40%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sassuolo
Home form
W
W
D
L
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Genoa
Away form
L
L
L
L
W
Lost 4 of last 5 away
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sassuolo Wins
0
Draws
1
Genoa Wins
4
Avg Goals
2.8
Genoa2 – 1Sassuolo
Sassuolo1 – 2Genoa
Genoa2 – 1Sassuolo
Sassuolo1 – 2Genoa
Sassuolo1 – 1Genoa
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Sassuolovs
Genoa
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.20
3.00
Goals conceded / game
1.20
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.6%→Latest 49.6%−3.0 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.1%→Latest 54.7%−2.4 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
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