Roma vs Sassuolo Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadio Olimpico
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.29
Draw
6.41
Away Win
9.48
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
Roma
Sassuolo
Mario Hermoso ⚽
27'
Sebastian Walukiewicz ⚽ (OG)
30'
Rodrigo Mora (Donyell Malen) ⚽
58'
Match Statistics ?
65%
Ball Possession
35%
28
Total Shots
6
9
Shots on Goal
1
12
Corner Kicks
1
8
Fouls
13
0
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Roma (3-4-2-1)
D. Vásquez
L. Balerdi
E. Ndicka
Hermoso
N. Molina
B. Cristante
M. Koné
Wesley
M. Soulé
Rodrigo Mora
D. Malen
Sassuolo (3-5-2)
A. Murić
S. Walukiewicz
J. Idzes
D. Ćaleta-Car
S. Cinquegrano
K. Thorstvedt
N. Matić
I. Sulemana
J. Doig
S. Esposito
A. Laurienté
Player Ratings ?
Roma
HermosoD8.4
Rodrigo MoraM7.6
M. SouléM7.5
Sassuolo
A. MurićG6.6
K. BowieF6.6
J. DoigM6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Roma
Roma rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Roma a strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Roma stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Roma stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Roma stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Roma stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Roma have enjoyed a solid run at home with four wins and no defeats in their last five outings, while Sassuolo have struggled away from home with just one draw and four losses in the same span. The hosts have found the net in each of their last five matches at this venue but have also managed to keep two clean sheets during that period. Sassuolo will be without five players ahead of the match. Roma rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Roma won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 10 January 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Sassuolo's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Roma's implied win probability has risen by 2.6 percentage points, while Sassuolo's implied win probability has fallen by 1.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Roma a strong edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Roma unbeaten run
4/5
One-goal H2H results
1
Sassuolo points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Roma
Roma's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Roma win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Roma win
Latest market chance 73.6%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
71.0% → 73.6%
+2.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 15.8%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
17.0% → 15.8%
−1.2 pts
Sassuolo win
Latest market chance 10.6%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
12.0% → 10.6%
−1.4 pts
10 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
RomaSassuolo
Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
17th
10
Games Played
10
2.40
Points/Game
0.80
2.80
Goals/Game
1.60
1.00
Conceded/Game
2.60
19.4
Shots/Game
12.6
6.5
Shots on Target
4.5
Home vs Away Context
Roma at home (7 matches) vs Sassuolo away (7 matches)
2.71
Points/Game
0.14
2.71
Goals/Game
1.14
0.71
Conceded/Game
2.71
86%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Roma
Home form
W
D
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sassuolo
Away form
D
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Roma Wins
4
Draws
0
Sassuolo Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.8
Roma2 – 0Sassuolo
Sassuolo0 – 1Roma
Roma1 – 0Sassuolo
Sassuolo1 – 2Roma
Roma3 – 4Sassuolo
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Romavs
Sassuolo
Recent Scoring Profile
2.60
Goals scored / game
1.70
1.00
Goals conceded / game
2.80
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
1/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 66.9%→Latest 69.8%+2.9 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.3%→Latest 57.1%+0.8 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?