Parma vs Udinese Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Ennio Tardini
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.87
Draw
3.12
Away Win
2.75
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Parma
Udinese
Alberto Gilardino 🟨
29'
45+1'
🟨 Jesper Karlstrom
Adrián Bernabé García •
69'
81'
🟨 Nicolo Zaniolo
Simone Lontani 🟨
81'
Match Statistics ?
42%
Ball Possession
58%
8
Total Shots
20
2
Shots on Goal
5
3
Corner Kicks
6
12
Fouls
14
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Parma (3-4-2-1)
G. Daffara
E. Del Prato
M. Troilo
D. Drobnic
S. Britschgi
V. Sierro
M. Keita
F. Carboni
Adrián Bernabé
E. Touré
D. Romero
Udinese (3-4-2-1)
M. Okoye
J. Abankwah
C. Kabasele
M. Palma
N. Bertola
J. Karlström
G. Chakvetadze
H. Kamara
N. Zaniolo
J. Ekkelenkamp
K. Davis
Player Ratings ?
Parma
G. DaffaraG7.8
M. TroiloD6.8
G. FabbianM6.7
Udinese
M. PalmaD7.3
G. ChakvetadzeM7.2
K. DavisF7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Parma edge recent form and defence, Udinese edge attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Parma stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Udinese slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Parma stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Udinese stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Parma have secured just one win and drawn once in their last five home outings, while Udinese have managed a solitary victory from five away fixtures across multiple campaigns. The hosts have scored in only two of their last five home matches and have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same recent spell. Parma face four confirmed absences, whereas Udinese will be without three players with two additional doubts hanging over their squad. Parma rate stronger on form and defence, while Udinese rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. Parma won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 18 April 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Udinese's 3, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 8-day comparison window, Parma's implied win probability has risen by 1.9 percentage points, while Udinese's implied win probability has fallen by 3.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
50%
Parma yellow cards after 75'
3
Udinese points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Udinese
Udinese's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Udinese win as less likely than it did 8 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Parma win
Latest market chance 33.7%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
31.8% → 33.7%
+1.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 30.4%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
29.3% → 30.4%
+1.1 pts
Udinese win
Latest market chance 35.9%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
38.9% → 35.9%
−3.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Parma
Draw
Udinese
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 8 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ParmaUdinese
Season Profile
This season
19th
League Position
17th
8
Games Played
8
0.50
Points/Game
0.50
0.62
Goals/Game
1.12
1.88
Conceded/Game
2.25
10.0
Shots/Game
14.5
3.2
Shots on Target
4.5
Home vs Away Context
Parma at home (7 matches) vs Udinese away (6 matches)
0.71
Points/Game
0.67
0.57
Goals/Game
1.50
1.57
Conceded/Game
2.17
14%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Parma
Home form
L
D
W
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Udinese
Away form
L
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Parma Wins
1
Draws
1
Udinese Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.6
Udinese0 – 1Parma
Parma0 – 2Udinese
Udinese1 – 0Parma
Parma2 – 3Udinese
Parma2 – 2Udinese
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Parmavs
Udinese
Recent Scoring Profile
0.50
Goals scored / game
1.00
2.10
Goals conceded / game
2.10
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
6/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 43.8%→Latest 42.7%−1.1 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.3%→Latest 50.0%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Udinese's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?