Parma vs Torino Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Ennio Tardini
Mon 19 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.37
Draw
3.05
Away Win
2.45
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 3
Match Events ?
Parma
Torino
4'
⚽ Giovanni Simeone (Rafik Belghali)
24'
⚽ Che Adams
Diego Carlos 🟨
28'
37'
🟨 Ardian Ismajli
Sascha Britschgi 🟨
54'
69'
⚽ Giovanni Simeone (Rafik Belghali)
75'
🟨 Pietro Comuzzo
Mariano Troilo 🟨
90+2'
Match Statistics ?
51%
Ball Possession
49%
25
Total Shots
9
8
Shots on Goal
3
6
Corner Kicks
2
7
Fouls
16
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
3
0
Goalkeeper Saves
8
Starting Lineups
Parma (3-4-2-1)
E. Corvi
Diego Carlos
M. Troilo
E. Del Prato
S. Britschgi
Adrián Bernabé
M. Keita
E. Valeri
G. Fabbian
E. Touré
D. Romero
Torino (3-4-1-2)
Lucas Perri
Saúl Coco
A. Ismajli
P. Comuzzo
R. Belghali
R. Mandragora
Daniel Bragança
A. Cacciamani
N. Vlašić
G. Simeone
C. Adams
Player Ratings ?
Parma
Adrián BernabéM7.2
E. ValeriM6.9
D. RomeroF6.7
Torino
G. SimeoneF9.1
Lucas PerriG8.7
R. BelghaliM8.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Torino edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Torino stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Torino stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Torino stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Parma have secured two victories from their last five outings at home, whereas Torino have managed just a solitary win in their corresponding away fixtures during that same span. The hosts have found the net in four of their most recent five home matches while keeping a clean sheet only once in that identical period. Three Parma players are unavailable for selection, while seven Torino squad members face fitness issues alongside two others listed as doubtful. Torino rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Torino won the most recent meeting 4-1 on 13 March 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Parma's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 14-day comparison window, Parma's implied win probability has fallen by 1.6 percentage points, while Torino's implied win probability has risen by 1.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Parma
Parma's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Parma win as less likely than it did 14 days ago. Torino remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Parma win
Latest market chance 28.7%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
30.3% → 28.7%
−1.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 31.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
30.7% → 31.1%
+0.4 pts
Torino win
Latest market chance 40.2%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
39.0% → 40.2%
+1.2 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
15 snapshots
+2+10−1Oct 5Oct 9Oct 12Oct 15Oct 19
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Parma
Draw
Torino
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Parma
Torino
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
13th
6
Games Played
6
0.67
Points/Game
1.17
0.67
Goals/Game
1.17
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.50
10.0
Shots/Game
10.6
3.2
Shots on Target
3.5
Home vs Away Context
Parma at home (7 matches) vs Torino away (6 matches)
0.71
Points/Game
1.67
0.57
Goals/Game
1.67
1.57
Conceded/Game
1.00
14%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Parma
Home form
W
L
D
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Torino
Away form
L
L
W
D
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Parma Wins
1
Draws
2
Torino Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.0
2026-10-182026-2027
Parma0 – 3Torino
2026-03-132025-2026
Torino4 – 1Parma
2025-09-292025-2026
Parma2 – 1Torino
2025-03-082024-2025
Parma2 – 2Torino
2025-01-052024-2025
Torino0 – 0Parma
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Parma
vs
Torino
Recent Scoring Profile
0.50
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.40
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
6/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
64.5%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
39.9%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
21.3%
BTTSBoth teams score
46.9%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 40.8%→Latest 39.7%−1.1 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Oct 4Oct 8Oct 12Oct 15Oct 19
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 15 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 48.8%→Latest 46.8%−2.0 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Oct 4Oct 8Oct 12Oct 15Oct 19
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 15 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
2 of Parma's 10 matches and 2 of Torino's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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