Parma vs Roma Head to Head, Prediction
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
8.26
Draw
5.31
Away Win
1.34
Match Prediction
Data favours
Roma
Roma rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Roma a strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Roma stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Roma stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Roma stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Roma stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Roma
Roma's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Roma win as more likely than it did 14 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Parma win
Latest market chance 11.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
13.3% → 11.4%
−1.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 18.4%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
19.4% → 18.4%
−1.0 pts
Roma win
Latest market chance 70.2%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
67.3% → 70.2%
+2.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Parma
Draw
Roma
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ParmaRoma
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
3rd
11
Games Played
11
0.73
Points/Game
2.45
0.82
Goals/Game
2.82
1.55
Conceded/Game
0.91
10.0
Shots/Game
19.4
3.2
Shots on Target
6.5
Home vs Away Context
Parma at home (7 matches) vs Roma away (5 matches)
0.71
Points/Game
2.20
0.57
Goals/Game
2.80
1.57
Conceded/Game
1.00
14%
Win Rate
60%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Parma
Home form
W
L
L
D
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Roma
Away form
W
W
D
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 away
2.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Parma Wins
1
Draws
0
Roma Wins
4
Avg Goals
3.2
Parma2 – 3Roma
Roma2 – 1Parma
Parma0 – 1Roma
Roma5 – 0Parma
Parma2 – 0Roma
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Parmavs
Roma
Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
2.50
1.90
Goals conceded / game
1.00
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
5/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.9%→Latest 59.1%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 47.7%→Latest 49.2%+1.5 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?