Monza vs Fiorentina Head to Head, Prediction
Mon 23 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
3.56
Draw
3.76
Away Win
1.99
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Monza edge head-to-head, Fiorentina edge recent form, attack and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Fiorentina stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Monza slightly stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Monza win
Latest market chance 28.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.4% → 28.4%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.5% → 25.5%
±0.0 pts
Fiorentina win
Latest market chance 46.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
46.1% → 46.1%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Monza
Draw
Fiorentina
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
MonzaFiorentina
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
15th
11
Games Played
11
0.64
Points/Game
0.82
1.55
Goals/Game
1.55
2.27
Conceded/Game
2.27
13.4
Shots/Game
16.9
5.5
Shots on Target
5.1
Home vs Away Context
Monza at home (6 matches) vs Fiorentina away (6 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
1.00
2.17
Goals/Game
1.83
1.50
Conceded/Game
2.33
50%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Monza
Home form
W
W
W
L
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Fiorentina
Away form
W
L
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Monza Wins
2
Draws
1
Fiorentina Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.2
Monza2 – 1Fiorentina
Fiorentina2 – 2Monza
Fiorentina2 – 1Monza
Monza0 – 1Fiorentina
Monza3 – 2Fiorentina
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Monzavs
Fiorentina
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
1.80
1.80
Goals conceded / game
2.00
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
10/10
1/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.7%→Latest 58.8%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.8%→Latest 60.8%+1.0 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?