Monza vs Atalanta Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadio Brianteo
Sun 08 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.33
Draw
3.94
Away Win
2.10
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Monza
Atalanta
Eddy Kouadio 🟨
14'
Leonardo Colombo 🟨
48'
49'
⚽ Nikola Krstović
85'
🟨 Éderson José dos Santos
90+2'
🟨 Charles De Ketelaere
Andrea Carboni 🟨
90+2'
Ivan Juric 🟨
90+3'
Andrea Colpani 🟨
90+3'
Ivan Juric 🟥
90+4'
Match Statistics ?
49%
Ball Possession
51%
22
Total Shots
13
7
Shots on Goal
7
7
Corner Kicks
2
11
Fouls
6
4
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
6
Goalkeeper Saves
7
Starting Lineups
Monza (3-5-2)
N. Törnqvist
E. Kouadio
S. Goglichidze
L. Lucchesi
I. Touré
E. Akinsanmiro
L. Colombo
M. Mout
Ricardo Mangas
Gustavo Varela
Jay Robinson
Atalanta (4-2-3-1)
M. Carnesecchi
D. Zappacosta
G. Scalvini
S. Kolašinac
L. Bernasconi
Éderson
Mario Pasalic
E. Elmas
C. De Ketelaere
N. Zalewski
N. Krstović
Player Ratings ?
Monza
N. TörnqvistG7.6
L. LucchesiD7.3
Jay RobinsonF6.9
Atalanta
M. CarnesecchiG9.1
N. KrstovićF8.0
G. ScalviniD7.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Atalanta edge recent form and head-to-head, attack and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Atalanta stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Atalanta stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Atalanta have struggled away from home with just two draws and three losses in their last five outings, whereas Monza look more assured at this venue having secured three victories from the same number of matches. The hosts have found the net in each of their last five home games but have also kept two clean sheets within that identical run. There is one player unavailable for Atalanta ahead of this Serie A fixture. Atalanta rate stronger on form and head-to-head, while attack and defence are closely matched. Atalanta won the most recent meeting 4-0 on 4 May 2025, having won 5 of the last 5 encounters to Monza's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Atalanta losing run
2
Atalanta points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Monza win
Latest market chance 29.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.6% → 29.0%
+0.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.2% → 25.0%
−0.2 pts
Atalanta win
Latest market chance 46.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
46.2% → 46.0%
−0.2 pts
10 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
MonzaAtalanta
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
13th
10
Games Played
10
0.70
Points/Game
1.10
1.70
Goals/Game
1.60
2.40
Conceded/Game
2.00
13.4
Shots/Game
14.4
5.5
Shots on Target
5.4
Home vs Away Context
Monza at home (6 matches) vs Atalanta away (5 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
0.80
2.17
Goals/Game
1.20
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.80
50%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Monza
Home form
L
W
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Atalanta
Away form
D
L
L
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Monza Wins
0
Draws
0
Atalanta Wins
5
Avg Goals
3.8
Monza0 – 4Atalanta
Atalanta2 – 0Monza
Monza1 – 2Atalanta
Atalanta3 – 0Monza
Atalanta5 – 2Monza
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Monzavs
Atalanta
Recent Scoring Profile
2.00
Goals scored / game
1.70
2.00
Goals conceded / game
2.00
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
0/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 60.3%→Latest 63.7%+3.4 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.2%→Latest 65.1%+2.9 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?