Milan vs Frosinone Head to Head, Prediction
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.56
Draw
4.55
Away Win
5.21
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Milan edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, Frosinone edge attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Milan slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Frosinone stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Milan stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Milan stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Milan win
Latest market chance 61.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
61.1% → 61.1%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 20.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
20.4% → 20.2%
−0.2 pts
Frosinone win
Latest market chance 18.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
18.5% → 18.7%
+0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Milan
Draw
Frosinone
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
MilanFrosinone
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
6th
11
Games Played
11
2.18
Points/Game
1.82
2.09
Goals/Game
2.18
1.18
Conceded/Game
1.36
11.5
Shots/Game
20.1
4.5
Shots on Target
6.8
Home vs Away Context
Milan at home (5 matches) vs Frosinone away (6 matches)
2.40
Points/Game
0.83
2.60
Goals/Game
1.33
1.40
Conceded/Game
2.00
80%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Milan
Home form
W
W
W
L
W
Won 4 of last 5 at home
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Frosinone
Away form
D
L
L
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Milan Wins
3
Draws
2
Frosinone Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.4
Frosinone2 – 3Milan
Milan3 – 1Frosinone
Milan2 – 0Frosinone
Frosinone0 – 0Milan
Milan3 – 3Frosinone
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Milanvs
Frosinone
Recent Scoring Profile
2.10
Goals scored / game
2.20
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.70
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
0/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 72.2%→Latest 70.6%−1.6 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 66.0%→Latest 66.0%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?