Lazio vs Lecce Head to Head, Prediction
Stadio Olimpico
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.36
Draw
5.11
Away Win
8.06
Match Prediction
Data favours
Lazio
Lazio rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Lazio an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Lazio stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Lazio stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Lazio stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Lazio stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Lazio win
Latest market chance 69.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
68.9% → 69.0%
+0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 19.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
19.4% → 19.2%
−0.2 pts
Lecce win
Latest market chance 11.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
11.7% → 11.8%
+0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Lazio
Draw
Lecce
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
LazioLecce
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
14th
11
Games Played
11
2.64
Points/Game
0.91
2.27
Goals/Game
1.09
0.82
Conceded/Game
2.00
13.9
Shots/Game
12.1
4.7
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Lazio at home (5 matches) vs Lecce away (6 matches)
2.60
Points/Game
1.17
2.00
Goals/Game
1.17
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.67
80%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Lazio
Home form
W
D
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Lecce
Away form
L
L
W
L
D
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Lazio Wins
3
Draws
1
Lecce Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.4
Lecce0 – 0Lazio
Lazio2 – 0Lecce
Lazio0 – 1Lecce
Lecce1 – 2Lazio
Lazio1 – 0Lecce
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Laziovs
Lecce
Recent Scoring Profile
2.40
Goals scored / game
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded / game
2.20
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
0/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 60.3%→Latest 60.3%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.6%→Latest 51.1%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
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