Juventus vs Napoli Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Allianz Stadium
Sun 01 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.41
Draw
3.32
Away Win
3.17
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Juventus
Napoli
Douglas Luiz Soares 🟨
16'
Jhon Lucumi 🟨
20'
38'
🟨 Luca Marianucci
Kerim Alajbegovic (Edon Zhegrova) ⚽
70'
Kerim Alajbegovic 🟨
71'
75'
🟥 Luca Marianucci
Jérémie Boga (Andrea Cambiaso) ⚽
87'
90+1'
🟨 Rafael Marin Zamora
Match Statistics ?
49%
Ball Possession
51%
18
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Goal
1
13
Corner Kicks
4
9
Fouls
12
3
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
1
3
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Juventus (4-4-2)
G. Vicario
P. Kalulu
Bremer
J. Lucumí
J. Cabal
W. McKennie
Douglas Luiz
T. Koopmeiners
Kerim-Sam Alajbegović
R. Kolo Muani
N. Woltemade
Napoli (4-3-3)
A. Meret
G. Di Lorenzo
Luca Marianucci
Rafa Marín
M. Olivera
K. De Bruyne
A. Zambo Anguissa
S. McTominay
M. Politano
L. Lucca
N. Lang
Player Ratings ?
Juventus
Kerim-Sam AlajbegovićM8.2
J. BogaF7.6
Douglas LuizM7.2
Napoli
M. OliveraD6.9
L. LuccaF6.8
Rafa MarínD6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Juventus edge defence, Napoli edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Napoli slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Napoli stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Juventus slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Napoli stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Napoli have recorded just one away win and a single draw in their last five outings, while Juventus sit on two home victories from their own recent five matches. The Bianconeri have found the net in three of their last five home fixtures but have also kept two clean sheets during that same span. Juventus face eight confirmed absences alongside one doubtful player, whereas Napoli carry eight definite out-counts with no players listed as doubtful. Napoli rate stronger on attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form, while Juventus hold a slight advantage in defence. Juventus won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 25 January 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Napoli's 3, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Juventus's implied win probability has fallen by 9.7 percentage points, while Napoli's implied win probability has risen by 7.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Juventus
Juventus's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Juventus win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Juventus win
Latest market chance 40.6%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
50.3% → 40.6%
−9.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.1%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
26.6% → 29.1%
+2.5 pts
Napoli win
Latest market chance 30.2%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
23.2% → 30.2%
+7.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Juventus
Draw
Napoli
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
JuventusNapoli
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
7th
9
Games Played
9
1.56
Points/Game
1.56
1.22
Goals/Game
1.89
1.11
Conceded/Game
1.22
16.4
Shots/Game
15.5
5.2
Shots on Target
5.6
Home vs Away Context
Juventus at home (5 matches) vs Napoli away (7 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.00
1.40
Goals/Game
1.29
0.80
Conceded/Game
1.29
60%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Juventus
Home form
L
W
D
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Napoli
Away form
L
D
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Juventus Wins
1
Draws
1
Napoli Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.4
Juventus3 – 0Napoli
Napoli2 – 1Juventus
Napoli2 – 1Juventus
Juventus0 – 0Napoli
Napoli2 – 1Juventus
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Juventusvs
Napoli
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.80
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.20
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.1%→Latest 48.4%−0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.7%→Latest 53.6%+0.9 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
1 of Juventus's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?