Juventus vs Lazio Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Allianz Stadium
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.64
Draw
3.94
Away Win
5.74
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 3
Match Events ?
Juventus
Lazio
37'
⚽ Oliver Provstgaard (Mattia Zaccagni)
41'
🟨 Kenneth Taylor
48'
🟨 Mattia Zaccagni
66'
⚽ Gustav Isaksen (Nuno Tavares)
89'
⚽ Fisayo Dele-Bashiru (Andrea Pinamonti)
Match Statistics ?
58%
Ball Possession
42%
9
Total Shots
9
2
Shots on Goal
3
5
Corner Kicks
7
7
Fouls
7
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
6
Offsides
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Juventus (4-2-3-1)
G. Vicario
P. Kalulu
Bremer
J. Lucumí
Z. Çelik
Douglas Luiz
P. Sarr
N. González
W. McKennie
Kerim-Sam Alajbegović
R. Kolo Muani
Lazio (4-3-3)
C. Mandas
R. Floriani Mussolini
J. Šutalo
O. Provstgaard
Nuno Tavares
D. Frattesi
R. Belahyane
K. Taylor
G. Isaksen
T. Noslin
M. Zaccagni
Player Ratings ?
Juventus
P. KaluluD6.6
Francisco ConceiçãoF6.6
BremerD6.5
Lazio
O. ProvstgaardD8.5
F. Dele-BashiruM7.6
J. ŠutaloD7.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Juventus edge attack and defence, Lazio edge recent form and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Lazio stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Juventus slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Juventus stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Lazio stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Lazio have secured four victories in their last five outings away from home, while Juventus have managed just two wins and two draws in that same span at the Stadio Olimpico. The Bianconeri have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have also kept two clean sheets during that identical period. Six Juventus players are currently unavailable, whereas eight Lazio squad members are out with four additional visitors listed as doubtful ahead of the fixture. Lazio rate stronger on form and head-to-head, while Juventus rate stronger on defence, with a slight advantage in attack. The most recent meeting, on 8 February 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 14-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
12
Lazio points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Juventus win
Latest market chance 58.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
57.8% → 58.3%
+0.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.4% → 24.4%
±0.0 pts
Lazio win
Latest market chance 17.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
17.8% → 17.3%
−0.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Juventus
Draw
Lazio
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
JuventusLazio
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
3rd
6
Games Played
6
1.83
Points/Game
2.67
1.50
Goals/Game
1.83
0.83
Conceded/Game
0.67
16.4
Shots/Game
13.9
5.2
Shots on Target
4.7
Home vs Away Context
Juventus at home (5 matches) vs Lazio away (6 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
2.67
1.40
Goals/Game
2.50
0.80
Conceded/Game
0.67
60%
Win Rate
83%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Juventus
Home form
D
L
W
D
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Lazio
Away form
W
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Juventus Wins
1
Draws
2
Lazio Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.8
Juventus2 – 2Lazio
Lazio1 – 0Juventus
Lazio1 – 1Juventus
Juventus1 – 0Lazio
Lazio1 – 0Juventus
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Juventusvs
Lazio
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.10
2/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.1%→Latest 48.6%−1.5 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.1%→Latest 49.2%−0.9 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
4 of Juventus's 10 matches and 4 of Lazio's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?