Inter vs Como Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Sun 08 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.94
Draw
4.16
Away Win
3.59
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Inter
Como
Pio Esposito (Djed Spence) ⚽
12'
Marcus Thuram ⚽
19'
Pio Esposito 🟨
72'
Match Statistics ?
43%
Ball Possession
57%
14
Total Shots
5
4
Shots on Goal
1
4
Corner Kicks
2
13
Fouls
6
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
8
Offsides
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Inter (3-5-2)
Josep Martínez
M. Akanji
A. Bastoni
Carlos Augusto
D. Spence
N. Barella
H. Çalhanoğlu
P. Zieliński
F. Dimarco
F. Esposito
M. Thuram
Como (4-2-3-1)
Robert Sánchez
Yan Couto
Jacobo Ramón Naveros
M. Kempf
Álex Valle
M. Perrone
Luis Milla
L. da Cunha
N. Paz
M. Baturina
T. Douvikas
Player Ratings ?
Inter
M. ThuramF8.2
F. EspositoF8.0
Carlos AugustoD7.6
Como
Luis MillaM6.9
M. KempfD6.8
S. RicciM6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Inter edge attack and head-to-head, Como edge defence, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Inter stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Como slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Inter stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Inter have secured five straight victories in their current home campaign, while Como have recorded four wins from their last five away fixtures. The Nerazzurri have scored in all five of their recent home outings and kept two clean sheets during that same period. Inter rate stronger on attack and head-to-head, while Como hold a slight advantage in defence, while form is closely matched. Inter won the most recent meeting 4-3 on 12 April 2026, having won 5 of the last 5 encounters to Como's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.8 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Inter's implied win probability has fallen by 3.5 percentage points, while Como's implied win probability has risen by 3.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Inter unbeaten run
15
Inter points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Inter
Inter's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Inter win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Inter win
Latest market chance 49.6%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
53.1% → 49.6%
−3.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.2% → 23.4%
+0.2 pts
Como win
Latest market chance 27.0%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
23.7% → 27.0%
+3.3 pts
10 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
InterComo
Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
4th
10
Games Played
10
2.50
Points/Game
2.30
2.60
Goals/Game
1.80
1.30
Conceded/Game
0.80
21.3
Shots/Game
18.9
6.9
Shots on Target
5.8
Home vs Away Context
Inter at home (7 matches) vs Como away (7 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
1.86
3.14
Goals/Game
1.86
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.29
100%
Win Rate
57%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Inter
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
3.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Como
Away form
W
W
L
W
W
Won 4 of last 5 away
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Inter Wins
5
Draws
0
Como Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.8
Como3 – 4Inter
Inter4 – 0Como
Como0 – 2Inter
Inter2 – 0Como
Inter4 – 0Como
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Intervs
Como
Recent Scoring Profile
2.70
Goals scored / game
1.80
1.30
Goals conceded / game
0.80
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
0/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 63.7%→Latest 63.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 63.5%→Latest 64.5%+1.0 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?